Primeira Liga·Etapa 24·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
25%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,002,64sigur0,67–2,610,14–1,850,81–4,46mai sigur0,42–2,860,00–2,080,33–4,94
Șuturi pe poartă
67%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,823,077,89sigur2,96–6,681,33–4,824,29–11,50mai sigur2,47–7,170,86–5,283,33–12,45
Total șuturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,1810,5924,77sigur10,25–18,107,03–14,1617,29–32,26mai sigur9,16–19,196,07–15,1215,23–34,31
Șuturi din careu
69%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,876,4515,32sigur5,93–11,813,77–9,149,70–20,95mai sigur5,10–12,643,04–9,878,13–22,51
Șuturi blocate
54%
16%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,402,626,02sigur1,51–5,280,97–4,282,49–9,56mai sigur0,97–5,820,48–4,771,45–10,59
Cornere
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,073,399,46sigur3,86–8,281,39–5,395,25–13,67mai sigur3,28–8,860,86–5,924,14–14,78
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,0140,29sigur52,22–65,8033,50–47,07mai sigur50,55–67,4731,83–48,75
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție576380955sigur508–643313–446821–1089mai sigur490–661296–464786–1124
Precizie pase %
78%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,1568,69sigur71,12–79,1864,36–73,01mai sigur69,83–80,4763,05–74,32
Faulturi
44%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2913,6026,89sigur10,45–16,1210,66–16,5521,11–32,67mai sigur9,69–16,889,91–17,3019,60–34,18
Ofsaiduri
57%
20%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,181,323,50sigur1,02–3,340,22–2,411,25–5,75mai sigur0,72–3,650,00–2,700,66–6,34
Cartonașe galbene
36%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,922,114,03sigur0,87–2,970,98–3,241,85–6,21mai sigur0,60–3,240,69–3,531,29–6,76
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
27%
16%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,263,155,41sigur0,83–3,701,59–4,702,42–8,40mai sigur0,44–4,091,16–5,131,61–9,21
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,64 0,67–2,61 0,42–2,86 | 1,00 0,14–1,85 0,00–2,08 | 2,64 0,81–4,46 0,33–4,94 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,82 2,96–6,68 2,47–7,17 | 3,07 1,33–4,82 0,86–5,28 | 7,89 4,29–11,50 3,33–12,45 | 67% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 14,18 10,25–18,10 9,16–19,19 | 10,59 7,03–14,16 6,07–15,12 | 24,77 17,29–32,26 15,23–34,31 | 73% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,87 5,93–11,81 5,10–12,64 | 6,45 3,77–9,14 3,04–9,87 | 15,32 9,70–20,95 8,13–22,51 | 69% 23% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,40 1,51–5,28 0,97–5,82 | 2,62 0,97–4,28 0,48–4,77 | 6,02 2,49–9,56 1,45–10,59 | 54% 16% 30% |
| Cornere | 6,07 3,86–8,28 3,28–8,86 | 3,39 1,39–5,39 0,86–5,92 | 9,46 5,25–13,67 4,14–14,78 | 76% 15% |
| Posesie % | 59,01 52,22–65,80 50,55–67,47 | 40,29 33,50–47,07 31,83–48,75 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 576 508–643 490–661 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 955 821–1089 786–1124 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,15 71,12–79,18 69,83–80,47 | 68,69 64,36–73,01 63,05–74,32 | — | 78% 18% |
| Faulturi | 13,29 10,45–16,12 9,69–16,88 | 13,60 10,66–16,55 9,91–17,30 | 26,89 21,11–32,67 19,60–34,18 | 44% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,18 1,02–3,34 0,72–3,65 | 1,32 0,22–2,41 0,00–2,70 | 3,50 1,25–5,75 0,66–6,34 | 57% 20% 22% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,92 0,87–2,97 0,60–3,24 | 2,11 0,98–3,24 0,69–3,53 | 4,03 1,85–6,21 1,29–6,76 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,26 0,83–3,70 0,44–4,09 | 3,15 1,59–4,70 1,16–5,13 | 5,41 2,42–8,40 1,61–9,21 | 27% 16% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.