Primeira Liga·Etapa 25·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
49%
26%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,460,962,42sigur0,49–2,430,11–1,810,60–4,25mai sigur0,24–2,680,00–2,040,12–4,73
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,753,227,97sigur2,89–6,611,48–4,964,37–11,58mai sigur2,40–7,101,01–5,433,41–12,53
Total șuturi
75%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,1210,2324,35sigur10,19–18,046,67–13,7916,86–31,83mai sigur9,10–19,135,71–14,7514,81–33,88
Șuturi din careu
72%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,366,4915,86sigur6,42–12,303,81–9,1710,23–21,48mai sigur5,59–13,133,08–9,918,67–23,05
Șuturi blocate
56%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,792,896,68sigur1,90–5,671,24–4,543,14–10,21mai sigur1,36–6,210,75–5,042,11–11,25
Cornere
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,463,779,23sigur3,25–7,671,77–5,775,01–13,44mai sigur2,67–8,251,23–6,303,91–14,55
Posesie %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,7742,54sigur51,98–65,5635,75–49,32mai sigur50,31–67,2334,08–50,99
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție522369892sigur455–590303–436758–1025mai sigur437–608285–453722–1061
Precizie pase %
62%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,7470,94sigur69,71–77,7766,62–75,27mai sigur68,42–79,0665,31–76,58
Faulturi
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0612,5926,64sigur11,22–16,899,64–15,5320,86–32,43mai sigur10,46–17,658,89–16,2819,36–33,93
Ofsaiduri
55%
21%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,021,243,26sigur0,86–3,180,15–2,331,01–5,51mai sigur0,56–3,480,00–2,620,42–6,10
Cartonașe galbene
36%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,872,083,96sigur0,82–2,920,95–3,211,78–6,13mai sigur0,56–3,190,66–3,501,22–6,69
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,19sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
27%
17%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,163,065,22sigur0,73–3,601,50–4,612,23–8,21mai sigur0,34–3,991,08–5,041,42–9,03
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,46 0,49–2,43 0,24–2,68 | 0,96 0,11–1,81 0,00–2,04 | 2,42 0,60–4,25 0,12–4,73 | 49% 26% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,75 2,89–6,61 2,40–7,10 | 3,22 1,48–4,96 1,01–5,43 | 7,97 4,37–11,58 3,41–12,53 | 64% 23% |
| Total șuturi | 14,12 10,19–18,04 9,10–19,13 | 10,23 6,67–13,79 5,71–14,75 | 24,35 16,86–31,83 14,81–33,88 | 75% 19% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,36 6,42–12,30 5,59–13,13 | 6,49 3,81–9,17 3,08–9,91 | 15,86 10,23–21,48 8,67–23,05 | 72% 20% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,79 1,90–5,67 1,36–6,21 | 2,89 1,24–4,54 0,75–5,04 | 6,68 3,14–10,21 2,11–11,25 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,46 3,25–7,67 2,67–8,25 | 3,77 1,77–5,77 1,23–6,30 | 9,23 5,01–13,44 3,91–14,55 | 65% 23% |
| Posesie % | 58,77 51,98–65,56 50,31–67,23 | 42,54 35,75–49,32 34,08–50,99 | — | 82% 15% |
| Pase | 522 455–590 437–608 | 369 303–436 285–453 | 892 758–1025 722–1061 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,74 69,71–77,77 68,42–79,06 | 70,94 66,62–75,27 65,31–76,58 | — | 62% 34% |
| Faulturi | 14,06 11,22–16,89 10,46–17,65 | 12,59 9,64–15,53 8,89–16,28 | 26,64 20,86–32,43 19,36–33,93 | 57% 35% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,02 0,86–3,18 0,56–3,48 | 1,24 0,15–2,33 0,00–2,62 | 3,26 1,01–5,51 0,42–6,10 | 55% 21% 23% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,87 0,82–2,92 0,56–3,19 | 2,08 0,95–3,21 0,66–3,50 | 3,96 1,78–6,13 1,22–6,69 | 36% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,16 0,73–3,60 0,34–3,99 | 3,06 1,50–4,61 1,08–5,04 | 5,22 2,23–8,21 1,42–9,03 | 27% 17% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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