Primeira Liga·Etapa 25·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
19%
21%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,062,043,10sigur0,10–2,031,18–2,891,28–4,92mai sigur0,00–2,280,95–3,120,80–5,40
Șuturi pe poartă
21%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,985,959,93sigur2,12–5,844,21–7,696,33–13,54mai sigur1,63–6,333,74–8,165,37–14,49
Total șuturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9414,4227,36sigur9,01–16,8610,86–17,9819,87–34,84mai sigur7,92–17,959,90–18,9417,82–36,90
Șuturi din careu
19%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,1810,3717,55sigur4,24–10,127,69–13,0511,93–23,17mai sigur3,41–10,956,95–13,7910,36–24,74
Șuturi blocate
37%
14%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,654,087,72sigur1,77–5,532,42–5,734,19–11,26mai sigur1,22–6,071,93–6,223,15–12,30
Cornere
33%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,305,129,42sigur2,09–6,523,12–7,125,21–13,64mai sigur1,52–7,092,58–7,654,10–14,74
Posesie %
15%
82%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,1558,65sigur35,36–48,9451,87–65,44mai sigur33,69–50,6150,19–67,11
Pase
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție370516886sigur303–438449–582752–1020mai sigur285–456432–600717–1055
Precizie pase %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,4279,76sigur65,39–73,4575,43–84,08mai sigur64,10–74,7474,12–85,39
Faulturi
78%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,7511,2527,01sigur12,92–18,598,31–14,2021,23–32,79mai sigur12,16–19,357,56–14,9519,72–34,29
Ofsaiduri
28%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,943,37sigur0,27–2,590,85–3,031,11–5,62mai sigur0,00–2,890,56–3,320,52–6,21
Cartonașe galbene
51%
19%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,461,864,32sigur1,41–3,510,73–2,992,15–6,50mai sigur1,14–3,780,44–3,281,59–7,06
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,110,24sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,290,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,430,00–0,87
Parade portar
56%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,702,806,50sigur2,26–5,131,25–4,363,51–9,49mai sigur1,87–5,520,82–4,782,70–10,31
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,06 0,10–2,03 0,00–2,28 | 2,04 1,18–2,89 0,95–3,12 | 3,10 1,28–4,92 0,80–5,40 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,98 2,12–5,84 1,63–6,33 | 5,95 4,21–7,69 3,74–8,16 | 9,93 6,33–13,54 5,37–14,49 | 21% 68% |
| Total șuturi | 12,94 9,01–16,86 7,92–17,95 | 14,42 10,86–17,98 9,90–18,94 | 27,36 19,87–34,84 17,82–36,90 | 35% 57% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,18 4,24–10,12 3,41–10,95 | 10,37 7,69–13,05 6,95–13,79 | 17,55 11,93–23,17 10,36–24,74 | 19% 74% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,65 1,77–5,53 1,22–6,07 | 4,08 2,42–5,73 1,93–6,22 | 7,72 4,19–11,26 3,15–12,30 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Cornere | 4,30 2,09–6,52 1,52–7,09 | 5,12 3,12–7,12 2,58–7,65 | 9,42 5,21–13,64 4,10–14,74 | 33% 54% |
| Posesie % | 42,15 35,36–48,94 33,69–50,61 | 58,65 51,87–65,44 50,19–67,11 | — | 15% 82% |
| Pase | 370 303–438 285–456 | 516 449–582 432–600 | 886 752–1020 717–1055 | 89% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,42 65,39–73,45 64,10–74,74 | 79,76 75,43–84,08 74,12–85,39 | — | 90% |
| Faulturi | 15,75 12,92–18,59 12,16–19,35 | 11,25 8,31–14,20 7,56–14,95 | 27,01 21,23–32,79 19,72–34,29 | 78% 17% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,43 0,27–2,59 0,00–2,89 | 1,94 0,85–3,03 0,56–3,32 | 3,37 1,11–5,62 0,52–6,21 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,46 1,41–3,51 1,14–3,78 | 1,86 0,73–2,99 0,44–3,28 | 4,32 2,15–6,50 1,59–7,06 | 51% 19% 29% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,70 2,26–5,13 1,87–5,52 | 2,80 1,25–4,36 0,82–4,78 | 6,50 3,51–9,49 2,70–10,31 | 56% 15% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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