Primeira Liga·Etapa 26·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
67%
20%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,110,852,96sigur1,15–3,080,00–1,701,14–4,78mai sigur0,89–3,330,00–1,930,66–5,26
Șuturi pe poartă
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,952,918,86sigur4,09–7,811,17–4,655,25–12,46mai sigur3,60–8,300,70–5,124,30–13,42
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,138,4027,52sigur15,20–23,054,83–11,9620,04–35,01mai sigur14,11–24,143,88–12,9217,99–37,06
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,025,6017,62sigur9,08–14,962,92–8,2811,99–23,24mai sigur8,25–15,792,18–9,0210,43–24,81
Șuturi blocate
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,862,136,99sigur2,98–6,740,48–3,793,46–10,53mai sigur2,43–7,290,00–4,282,42–11,56
Cornere
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,963,009,96sigur4,75–9,171,00–5,005,75–14,18mai sigur4,17–9,750,47–5,544,64–15,29
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,1142,50sigur50,32–63,9135,72–49,29mai sigur48,65–65,5734,05–50,96
Pase
87%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție529395924sigur462–596329–462790–1058mai sigur443–614311–479755–1094
Precizie pase %
67%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,3371,41sigur71,30–79,3667,08–75,73mai sigur70,01–80,6565,77–77,04
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7913,5526,34sigur9,95–15,6310,60–16,4920,56–32,12mai sigur9,20–16,399,85–17,2419,05–33,63
Ofsaiduri
54%
23%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,841,122,97sigur0,68–3,000,03–2,220,71–5,22mai sigur0,38–3,300,00–2,510,12–5,81
Cartonașe galbene
25%
20%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,502,273,77sigur0,45–2,551,14–3,401,59–5,95mai sigur0,19–2,820,85–3,691,03–6,51
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,130,19sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,320,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,450,00–0,82
Parade portar
19%
14%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,003,575,57sigur0,56–3,442,02–5,132,58–8,56mai sigur0,18–3,821,59–5,551,77–9,38
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,11 1,15–3,08 0,89–3,33 | 0,85 0,00–1,70 0,00–1,93 | 2,96 1,14–4,78 0,66–5,26 | 67% 20% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,95 4,09–7,81 3,60–8,30 | 2,91 1,17–4,65 0,70–5,12 | 8,86 5,25–12,46 4,30–13,42 | 81% |
| Total șuturi | 19,13 15,20–23,05 14,11–24,14 | 8,40 4,83–11,96 3,88–12,92 | 27,52 20,04–35,01 17,99–37,06 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,02 9,08–14,96 8,25–15,79 | 5,60 2,92–8,28 2,18–9,02 | 17,62 11,99–23,24 10,43–24,81 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,86 2,98–6,74 2,43–7,29 | 2,13 0,48–3,79 0,00–4,28 | 6,99 3,46–10,53 2,42–11,56 | 80% |
| Cornere | 6,96 4,75–9,17 4,17–9,75 | 3,00 1,00–5,00 0,47–5,54 | 9,96 5,75–14,18 4,64–15,29 | 87% |
| Posesie % | 57,11 50,32–63,91 48,65–65,57 | 42,50 35,72–49,29 34,05–50,96 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 529 462–596 443–614 | 395 329–462 311–479 | 924 790–1058 755–1094 | 87% 13% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,33 71,30–79,36 70,01–80,65 | 71,41 67,08–75,73 65,77–77,04 | — | 67% 28% |
| Faulturi | 12,79 9,95–15,63 9,20–16,39 | 13,55 10,60–16,49 9,85–17,24 | 26,34 20,56–32,12 19,05–33,63 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,84 0,68–3,00 0,38–3,30 | 1,12 0,03–2,22 0,00–2,51 | 2,97 0,71–5,22 0,12–5,81 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,19–2,82 | 2,27 1,14–3,40 0,85–3,69 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,03–6,51 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,00 0,56–3,44 0,18–3,82 | 3,57 2,02–5,13 1,59–5,55 | 5,57 2,58–8,56 1,77–9,38 | 19% 14% 67% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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