Primeira Liga·Etapa 27·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
27%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,162,47sigur0,35–2,280,30–2,010,65–4,29mai sigur0,09–2,530,07–2,240,17–4,77
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,604,108,70sigur2,74–6,462,36–5,845,10–12,31mai sigur2,25–6,951,89–6,314,14–13,26
Total șuturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7612,8825,63sigur8,83–16,689,32–16,4418,15–33,12mai sigur7,74–17,778,36–17,4016,10–35,17
Șuturi din careu
50%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,607,1014,70sigur4,66–10,554,42–9,789,08–20,32mai sigur3,83–11,383,68–10,517,51–21,89
Șuturi blocate
42%
16%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,333,346,67sigur1,45–5,211,69–4,993,14–10,21mai sigur0,91–5,761,19–5,492,10–11,24
Cornere
49%
13%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,814,399,20sigur2,60–7,022,39–6,394,99–13,41mai sigur2,02–7,601,86–6,923,88–14,52
Posesie %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,9050,88sigur43,11–56,6944,09–57,66mai sigur41,44–58,3642,42–59,33
Pase
44%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție423440864sigur356–490374–507730–997mai sigur338–509356–524694–1033
Precizie pase %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,0674,22sigur68,03–76,0969,89–78,54mai sigur66,74–77,3868,58–79,85
Faulturi
51%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3013,6727,97sigur11,46–17,1410,72–16,6122,19–33,75mai sigur10,71–17,909,98–17,3620,68–35,26
Ofsaiduri
39%
25%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,491,432,92sigur0,33–2,650,34–2,520,66–5,17mai sigur0,03–2,950,05–2,810,07–5,76
Cartonașe galbene
37%
19%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,162,324,48sigur1,11–3,211,19–3,452,30–6,66mai sigur0,85–3,480,90–3,741,74–7,21
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,140,26sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,320,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,450,00–0,89
Parade portar
37%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,863,206,06sigur1,43–4,301,64–4,753,07–9,05mai sigur1,04–4,691,21–5,182,26–9,86
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,31 0,35–2,28 0,09–2,53 | 1,16 0,30–2,01 0,07–2,24 | 2,47 0,65–4,29 0,17–4,77 | 40% 27% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,60 2,74–6,46 2,25–6,95 | 4,10 2,36–5,84 1,89–6,31 | 8,70 5,10–12,31 4,14–13,26 | 50% 14% 37% |
| Total șuturi | 12,76 8,83–16,68 7,74–17,77 | 12,88 9,32–16,44 8,36–17,40 | 25,63 18,15–33,12 16,10–35,17 | 45% 47% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,60 4,66–10,55 3,83–11,38 | 7,10 4,42–9,78 3,68–10,51 | 14,70 9,08–20,32 7,51–21,89 | 50% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,33 1,45–5,21 0,91–5,76 | 3,34 1,69–4,99 1,19–5,49 | 6,67 3,14–10,21 2,10–11,24 | 42% 16% 42% |
| Cornere | 4,81 2,60–7,02 2,02–7,60 | 4,39 2,39–6,39 1,86–6,92 | 9,20 4,99–13,41 3,88–14,52 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Posesie % | 49,90 43,11–56,69 41,44–58,36 | 50,88 44,09–57,66 42,42–59,33 | — | 45% 50% |
| Pase | 423 356–490 338–509 | 440 374–507 356–524 | 864 730–997 694–1033 | 44% 56% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,06 68,03–76,09 66,74–77,38 | 74,22 69,89–78,54 68,58–79,85 | — | 37% 58% |
| Faulturi | 14,30 11,46–17,14 10,71–17,90 | 13,67 10,72–16,61 9,98–17,36 | 27,97 22,19–33,75 20,68–35,26 | 51% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,49 0,33–2,65 0,03–2,95 | 1,43 0,34–2,52 0,05–2,81 | 2,92 0,66–5,17 0,07–5,76 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,16 1,11–3,21 0,85–3,48 | 2,32 1,19–3,45 0,90–3,74 | 4,48 2,30–6,66 1,74–7,21 | 37% 19% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,14 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,26 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,89 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 2,86 1,43–4,30 1,04–4,69 | 3,20 1,64–4,75 1,21–5,18 | 6,06 3,07–9,05 2,26–9,86 | 37% 16% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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