Primeira Liga·Etapa 27·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
25%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,650,962,60sigur0,68–2,610,10–1,810,78–4,43mai sigur0,43–2,870,00–2,040,30–4,90
Șuturi pe poartă
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,273,438,70sigur3,41–7,141,68–5,175,10–12,31mai sigur2,92–7,631,22–5,644,14–13,26
Total șuturi
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,2010,4427,63sigur13,27–21,126,88–14,0020,15–35,12mai sigur12,18–22,215,92–14,9618,10–37,17
Șuturi din careu
74%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,166,9817,14sigur7,22–13,104,30–9,6611,51–22,76mai sigur6,39–13,933,56–10,399,95–24,33
Șuturi blocate
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,612,417,02sigur2,73–6,490,76–4,073,48–10,56mai sigur2,18–7,030,27–4,562,45–11,59
Cornere
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,213,429,63sigur4,00–8,421,42–5,425,41–13,84mai sigur3,42–9,000,88–5,954,31–14,95
Posesie %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,8644,91sigur47,07–60,6538,12–51,69mai sigur45,40–62,3236,45–53,36
Pase
73%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție478405883sigur411–545339–471750–1017mai sigur393–564321–489714–1053
Precizie pase %
59%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,6571,31sigur69,62–77,6866,99–75,64mai sigur68,33–78,9765,68–76,95
Faulturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6912,4326,12sigur10,86–16,539,48–15,3720,34–31,90mai sigur10,10–17,298,73–16,1218,83–33,41
Ofsaiduri
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,893,52sigur0,47–2,790,80–2,981,27–5,78mai sigur0,17–3,090,51–3,270,68–6,37
Cartonașe galbene
37%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,902,063,96sigur0,85–2,950,93–3,191,78–6,14mai sigur0,58–3,210,64–3,481,22–6,69
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,19sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
26%
16%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,273,245,51sigur0,83–3,701,69–4,802,52–8,50mai sigur0,44–4,091,26–5,221,71–9,31
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,65 0,68–2,61 0,43–2,87 | 0,96 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,04 | 2,60 0,78–4,43 0,30–4,90 | 54% 25% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,27 3,41–7,14 2,92–7,63 | 3,43 1,68–5,17 1,22–5,64 | 8,70 5,10–12,31 4,14–13,26 | 68% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 17,20 13,27–21,12 12,18–22,21 | 10,44 6,88–14,00 5,92–14,96 | 27,63 20,15–35,12 18,10–37,17 | 88% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,16 7,22–13,10 6,39–13,93 | 6,98 4,30–9,66 3,56–10,39 | 17,14 11,51–22,76 9,95–24,33 | 74% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,61 2,73–6,49 2,18–7,03 | 2,41 0,76–4,07 0,27–4,56 | 7,02 3,48–10,56 2,45–11,59 | 74% 15% |
| Cornere | 6,21 4,00–8,42 3,42–9,00 | 3,42 1,42–5,42 0,88–5,95 | 9,63 5,41–13,84 4,31–14,95 | 77% 14% |
| Posesie % | 53,86 47,07–60,65 45,40–62,32 | 44,91 38,12–51,69 36,45–53,36 | — | 68% 28% |
| Pase | 478 411–545 393–564 | 405 339–471 321–489 | 883 750–1017 714–1053 | 73% 27% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,65 69,62–77,68 68,33–78,97 | 71,31 66,99–75,64 65,68–76,95 | — | 59% 36% |
| Faulturi | 13,69 10,86–16,53 10,10–17,29 | 12,43 9,48–15,37 8,73–16,12 | 26,12 20,34–31,90 18,83–33,41 | 56% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,63 0,47–2,79 0,17–3,09 | 1,89 0,80–2,98 0,51–3,27 | 3,52 1,27–5,78 0,68–6,37 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,90 0,85–2,95 0,58–3,21 | 2,06 0,93–3,19 0,64–3,48 | 3,96 1,78–6,14 1,22–6,69 | 37% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,27 0,83–3,70 0,44–4,09 | 3,24 1,69–4,80 1,26–5,22 | 5,51 2,52–8,50 1,71–9,31 | 26% 16% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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