Primeira Liga·Etapa 28·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
15%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,712,553,26sigur0,00–1,671,70–3,411,43–5,08mai sigur0,00–1,931,47–3,630,95–5,56
Șuturi pe poartă
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,356,488,83sigur0,49–4,214,74–8,225,23–12,44mai sigur0,00–4,704,27–8,694,27–13,39
Total șuturi
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,0717,3725,44sigur4,15–12,0013,81–20,9317,95–32,93mai sigur3,06–13,0912,85–21,8915,90–34,98
Șuturi din careu
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,2811,9016,18sigur1,34–7,229,21–14,5810,55–21,80mai sigur0,51–8,058,48–15,318,99–23,37
Șuturi blocate
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,134,486,60sigur0,25–4,012,82–6,133,07–10,14mai sigur0,00–4,552,33–6,622,03–11,17
Cornere
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,636,759,38sigur0,41–4,844,75–8,755,17–13,59mai sigur0,00–5,424,22–9,284,06–14,70
Posesie %
98%
gazdeoaspețipredicție32,2668,22sigur25,47–39,0561,43–75,00mai sigur23,80–40,7259,76–76,68
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție307595902sigur239–374529–662768–1035mai sigur221–392511–679732–1071
Precizie pase %
99%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,9981,72sigur59,96–68,0277,40–86,05mai sigur58,67–69,3176,09–87,36
Faulturi
57%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4413,0227,46sigur11,61–17,2810,07–15,9621,68–33,24mai sigur10,85–18,049,32–16,7120,17–34,75
Ofsaiduri
23%
20%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,322,183,49sigur0,16–2,481,08–3,271,24–5,75mai sigur0,00–2,780,80–3,560,65–6,34
Cartonașe galbene
55%
17%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,962,165,12sigur1,91–4,011,03–3,292,94–7,30mai sigur1,65–4,280,74–3,582,39–7,86
Cartonașe roșii
20%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,240,110,35sigur0,08–0,410,00–0,290,00–0,70mai sigur0,00–0,560,00–0,430,00–0,98
Parade portar
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,121,805,93sigur2,69–5,560,25–3,362,94–8,92mai sigur2,30–5,950,00–3,792,12–9,73
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,71 0,00–1,67 0,00–1,93 | 2,55 1,70–3,41 1,47–3,63 | 3,26 1,43–5,08 0,95–5,56 | 15% 77% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 2,35 0,49–4,21 0,00–4,70 | 6,48 4,74–8,22 4,27–8,69 | 8,83 5,23–12,44 4,27–13,39 | 89% |
| Total șuturi | 8,07 4,15–12,00 3,06–13,09 | 17,37 13,81–20,93 12,85–21,89 | 25,44 17,95–32,93 15,90–34,98 | 96% |
| Șuturi din careu | 4,28 1,34–7,22 0,51–8,05 | 11,90 9,21–14,58 8,48–15,31 | 16,18 10,55–21,80 8,99–23,37 | 97% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,13 0,25–4,01 0,00–4,55 | 4,48 2,82–6,13 2,33–6,62 | 6,60 3,07–10,14 2,03–11,17 | 77% |
| Cornere | 2,63 0,41–4,84 0,00–5,42 | 6,75 4,75–8,75 4,22–9,28 | 9,38 5,17–13,59 4,06–14,70 | 89% |
| Posesie % | 32,26 25,47–39,05 23,80–40,72 | 68,22 61,43–75,00 59,76–76,68 | — | 98% |
| Pase | 307 239–374 221–392 | 595 529–662 511–679 | 902 768–1035 732–1071 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,99 59,96–68,02 58,67–69,31 | 81,72 77,40–86,05 76,09–87,36 | — | 99% |
| Faulturi | 14,44 11,61–17,28 10,85–18,04 | 13,02 10,07–15,96 9,32–16,71 | 27,46 21,68–33,24 20,17–34,75 | 57% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,32 0,16–2,48 0,00–2,78 | 2,18 1,08–3,27 0,80–3,56 | 3,49 1,24–5,75 0,65–6,34 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,96 1,91–4,01 1,65–4,28 | 2,16 1,03–3,29 0,74–3,58 | 5,12 2,94–7,30 2,39–7,86 | 55% 17% 28% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,24 0,08–0,41 0,00–0,56 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,35 0,00–0,70 0,00–0,98 | 20% 72% |
| Parade portar | 4,12 2,69–5,56 2,30–5,95 | 1,80 0,25–3,36 0,00–3,79 | 5,93 2,94–8,92 2,12–9,73 | 77% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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