Primeira Liga·Etapa 29·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
27%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,032,37sigur0,37–2,310,17–1,880,54–4,19mai sigur0,12–2,560,00–2,110,06–4,67
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
13%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,513,387,88sigur2,64–6,371,63–5,124,28–11,49mai sigur2,15–6,861,17–5,583,32–12,44
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4310,6925,11sigur10,50–18,357,12–14,2517,63–32,60mai sigur9,41–19,446,16–15,2115,57–34,65
Șuturi din careu
77%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,315,9415,25sigur6,37–12,263,26–8,629,63–20,87mai sigur5,54–13,082,52–9,368,06–22,44
Șuturi blocate
52%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,913,267,17sigur2,03–5,791,61–4,923,64–10,71mai sigur1,48–6,341,12–5,412,60–11,74
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,654,129,77sigur3,44–7,862,12–6,125,56–13,98mai sigur2,86–8,441,59–6,654,45–15,09
Posesie %
36%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,2752,25sigur40,48–54,0645,47–59,04mai sigur38,81–55,7343,80–60,71
Pase
37%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție414455868sigur347–481388–521735–1002mai sigur329–499371–539699–1038
Precizie pase %
33%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,4272,43sigur65,39–73,4568,11–76,75mai sigur64,09–74,7466,80–78,06
Faulturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,1212,2126,33sigur11,28–16,969,27–15,1620,55–32,11mai sigur10,52–17,718,52–15,9119,04–33,62
Ofsaiduri
39%
24%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,462,99sigur0,37–2,690,37–2,550,74–5,25mai sigur0,07–3,000,08–2,840,15–5,84
Cartonașe galbene
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,841,893,73sigur0,79–2,890,76–3,021,55–5,90mai sigur0,52–3,150,47–3,310,99–6,46
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,20sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
32%
17%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,483,105,58sigur1,05–3,921,54–4,662,59–8,57mai sigur0,66–4,311,12–5,081,78–9,39
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,03 0,17–1,88 0,00–2,11 | 2,37 0,54–4,19 0,06–4,67 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,51 2,64–6,37 2,15–6,86 | 3,38 1,63–5,12 1,17–5,58 | 7,88 4,28–11,49 3,32–12,44 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Total șuturi | 14,43 10,50–18,35 9,41–19,44 | 10,69 7,12–14,25 6,16–15,21 | 25,11 17,63–32,60 15,57–34,65 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,31 6,37–12,26 5,54–13,08 | 5,94 3,26–8,62 2,52–9,36 | 15,25 9,63–20,87 8,06–22,44 | 77% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,91 2,03–5,79 1,48–6,34 | 3,26 1,61–4,92 1,12–5,41 | 7,17 3,64–10,71 2,60–11,74 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,65 3,44–7,86 2,86–8,44 | 4,12 2,12–6,12 1,59–6,65 | 9,77 5,56–13,98 4,45–15,09 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 47,27 40,48–54,06 38,81–55,73 | 52,25 45,47–59,04 43,80–60,71 | — | 36% 59% |
| Pase | 414 347–481 329–499 | 455 388–521 371–539 | 868 735–1002 699–1038 | 37% 63% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,42 65,39–73,45 64,09–74,74 | 72,43 68,11–76,75 66,80–78,06 | — | 33% 63% |
| Faulturi | 14,12 11,28–16,96 10,52–17,71 | 12,21 9,27–15,16 8,52–15,91 | 26,33 20,55–32,11 19,04–33,62 | 61% 32% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,53 0,37–2,69 0,07–3,00 | 1,46 0,37–2,55 0,08–2,84 | 2,99 0,74–5,25 0,15–5,84 | 39% 24% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,84 0,79–2,89 0,52–3,15 | 1,89 0,76–3,02 0,47–3,31 | 3,73 1,55–5,90 0,99–6,46 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,48 1,05–3,92 0,66–4,31 | 3,10 1,54–4,66 1,12–5,08 | 5,58 2,59–8,57 1,78–9,39 | 32% 17% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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