Primeira Liga·Etapa 29·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
27%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,062,40sigur0,37–2,310,20–1,910,58–4,22mai sigur0,12–2,560,00–2,140,10–4,70
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,652,987,63sigur2,79–6,511,23–4,724,02–11,23mai sigur2,30–7,000,77–5,183,07–12,19
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6710,1023,77sigur9,75–17,596,54–13,6616,28–31,26mai sigur8,65–18,695,58–14,6214,23–33,31
Șuturi din careu
73%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,106,2515,34sigur6,16–12,043,57–8,939,72–20,97mai sigur5,33–12,872,83–9,678,15–22,53
Șuturi blocate
64%
14%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,732,366,08sigur1,84–5,610,70–4,012,55–9,62mai sigur1,30–6,150,21–4,501,51–10,65
Cornere
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,343,929,26sigur3,13–7,561,92–5,925,05–13,48mai sigur2,56–8,131,38–6,453,94–14,58
Posesie %
75%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,3344,02sigur49,54–63,1237,24–50,81mai sigur47,87–64,7935,57–52,48
Pase
81%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție460354814sigur393–527288–421680–948mai sigur375–545270–438645–984
Precizie pase %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,4367,92sigur66,40–74,4663,60–72,24mai sigur65,11–75,7562,29–73,55
Faulturi
48%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4614,2228,68sigur11,62–17,3011,28–17,1722,90–34,47mai sigur10,87–18,0510,53–17,9221,40–35,97
Ofsaiduri
48%
22%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,981,523,50sigur0,82–3,140,43–2,621,25–5,76mai sigur0,52–3,440,14–2,910,66–6,35
Cartonașe galbene
31%
19%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,902,394,29sigur0,85–2,951,26–3,522,11–6,47mai sigur0,59–3,220,97–3,811,56–7,03
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,130,24sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,310,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,450,00–0,87
Parade portar
25%
16%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,113,125,24sigur0,68–3,551,57–4,682,24–8,23mai sigur0,29–3,941,14–5,101,43–9,04
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,06 0,20–1,91 0,00–2,14 | 2,40 0,58–4,22 0,10–4,70 | 43% 27% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,65 2,79–6,51 2,30–7,00 | 2,98 1,23–4,72 0,77–5,18 | 7,63 4,02–11,23 3,07–12,19 | 66% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 13,67 9,75–17,59 8,65–18,69 | 10,10 6,54–13,66 5,58–14,62 | 23,77 16,28–31,26 14,23–33,31 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,10 6,16–12,04 5,33–12,87 | 6,25 3,57–8,93 2,83–9,67 | 15,34 9,72–20,97 8,15–22,53 | 73% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,73 1,84–5,61 1,30–6,15 | 2,36 0,70–4,01 0,21–4,50 | 6,08 2,55–9,62 1,51–10,65 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Cornere | 5,34 3,13–7,56 2,56–8,13 | 3,92 1,92–5,92 1,38–6,45 | 9,26 5,05–13,48 3,94–14,58 | 62% 26% |
| Posesie % | 56,33 49,54–63,12 47,87–64,79 | 44,02 37,24–50,81 35,57–52,48 | — | 75% 22% |
| Pase | 460 393–527 375–545 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 814 680–948 645–984 | 81% 19% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,43 66,40–74,46 65,11–75,75 | 67,92 63,60–72,24 62,29–73,55 | — | 60% 35% |
| Faulturi | 14,46 11,62–17,30 10,87–18,05 | 14,22 11,28–17,17 10,53–17,92 | 28,68 22,90–34,47 21,40–35,97 | 48% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,98 0,82–3,14 0,52–3,44 | 1,52 0,43–2,62 0,14–2,91 | 3,50 1,25–5,76 0,66–6,35 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,90 0,85–2,95 0,59–3,22 | 2,39 1,26–3,52 0,97–3,81 | 4,29 2,11–6,47 1,56–7,03 | 31% 19% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,24 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,11 0,68–3,55 0,29–3,94 | 3,12 1,57–4,68 1,14–5,10 | 5,24 2,24–8,23 1,43–9,04 | 25% 16% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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