Primeira Liga·Etapa 30·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
26%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,991,492,48sigur0,02–1,960,64–2,350,66–4,30mai sigur0,00–2,210,41–2,580,18–4,78
Șuturi pe poartă
28%
13%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,524,658,18sigur1,66–5,392,91–6,394,57–11,78mai sigur1,17–5,882,44–6,863,62–12,74
Total șuturi
29%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5413,7825,31sigur7,61–15,4610,22–17,3417,83–32,80mai sigur6,52–16,559,26–18,3015,78–34,85
Șuturi din careu
27%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,398,2314,62sigur3,45–9,335,55–10,919,00–20,24mai sigur2,62–10,164,81–11,657,43–21,81
Șuturi blocate
27%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,603,646,23sigur0,72–4,481,98–5,292,70–9,77mai sigur0,17–5,021,49–5,781,66–10,80
Cornere
27%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,875,249,11sigur1,65–6,083,24–7,244,89–13,32mai sigur1,08–6,652,71–7,783,79–14,43
Posesie %
33%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,7353,29sigur39,94–53,5246,51–60,08mai sigur38,27–55,1944,84–61,75
Pase
39%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție415447862sigur348–482380–513728–996mai sigur330–501363–531693–1031
Precizie pase %
25%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,3575,01sigur66,32–74,3870,68–79,33mai sigur65,02–75,6769,37–80,64
Faulturi
50%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5113,0626,57sigur10,67–16,3510,12–16,0120,79–32,35mai sigur9,92–17,109,37–16,7619,28–33,86
Ofsaiduri
39%
25%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,362,79sigur0,27–2,590,27–2,450,54–5,05mai sigur0,00–2,890,00–2,740,00–5,64
Cartonașe galbene
43%
19%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,372,244,61sigur1,32–3,421,11–3,372,43–6,79mai sigur1,05–3,680,82–3,661,87–7,34
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,120,25sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,310,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,440,00–0,88
Parade portar
54%
16%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,292,505,79sigur1,85–4,730,95–4,062,80–8,78mai sigur1,47–5,110,52–4,481,99–9,60
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,99 0,02–1,96 0,00–2,21 | 1,49 0,64–2,35 0,41–2,58 | 2,48 0,66–4,30 0,18–4,78 | 25% 26% 49% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,52 1,66–5,39 1,17–5,88 | 4,65 2,91–6,39 2,44–6,86 | 8,18 4,57–11,78 3,62–12,74 | 28% 13% 59% |
| Total șuturi | 11,54 7,61–15,46 6,52–16,55 | 13,78 10,22–17,34 9,26–18,30 | 25,31 17,83–32,80 15,78–34,85 | 29% 64% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,39 3,45–9,33 2,62–10,16 | 8,23 5,55–10,91 4,81–11,65 | 14,62 9,00–20,24 7,43–21,81 | 27% 64% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,60 0,72–4,48 0,17–5,02 | 3,64 1,98–5,29 1,49–5,78 | 6,23 2,70–9,77 1,66–10,80 | 27% 15% 58% |
| Cornere | 3,87 1,65–6,08 1,08–6,65 | 5,24 3,24–7,24 2,71–7,78 | 9,11 4,89–13,32 3,79–14,43 | 27% 61% |
| Posesie % | 46,73 39,94–53,52 38,27–55,19 | 53,29 46,51–60,08 44,84–61,75 | — | 33% 63% |
| Pase | 415 348–482 330–501 | 447 380–513 363–531 | 862 728–996 693–1031 | 39% 60% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,35 66,32–74,38 65,02–75,67 | 75,01 70,68–79,33 69,37–80,64 | — | 25% 70% |
| Faulturi | 13,51 10,67–16,35 9,92–17,10 | 13,06 10,12–16,01 9,37–16,76 | 26,57 20,79–32,35 19,28–33,86 | 50% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,43 0,27–2,59 0,00–2,89 | 1,36 0,27–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 2,79 0,54–5,05 0,00–5,64 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,37 1,32–3,42 1,05–3,68 | 2,24 1,11–3,37 0,82–3,66 | 4,61 2,43–6,79 1,87–7,34 | 43% 19% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,25 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 3,29 1,85–4,73 1,47–5,11 | 2,50 0,95–4,06 0,52–4,48 | 5,79 2,80–8,78 1,99–9,60 | 54% 16% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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