Primeira Liga·Etapa 30·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
23%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,052,85sigur0,84–2,780,19–1,901,03–4,68mai sigur0,59–3,030,00–2,130,55–5,16
Șuturi pe poartă
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,053,379,41sigur4,18–7,911,62–5,115,81–13,02mai sigur3,69–8,401,16–5,584,85–13,97
Total șuturi
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,4710,4127,88sigur13,55–21,406,84–13,9720,39–35,37mai sigur12,46–22,495,88–14,9318,34–37,42
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,956,4817,43sigur8,01–13,893,80–9,1611,81–23,05mai sigur7,18–14,723,06–9,9010,24–24,62
Șuturi blocate
69%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,532,727,25sigur2,65–6,411,06–4,373,71–10,78mai sigur2,10–6,960,57–4,862,67–11,82
Cornere
75%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,193,569,75sigur3,98–8,401,56–5,565,53–13,96mai sigur3,40–8,981,03–6,094,43–15,07
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,3744,54sigur47,58–61,1637,76–51,33mai sigur45,91–62,8336,08–53,00
Pase
77%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție477386863sigur409–544320–453729–996mai sigur391–562302–470693–1032
Precizie pase %
67%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,8468,87sigur68,81–76,8764,55–73,19mai sigur67,52–78,1663,24–74,50
Faulturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8111,5024,32sigur9,98–15,658,56–14,4518,54–30,10mai sigur9,22–16,417,81–15,2017,03–31,60
Ofsaiduri
46%
21%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,131,813,94sigur0,97–3,290,72–2,911,69–6,20mai sigur0,67–3,590,43–3,191,10–6,78
Cartonașe galbene
37%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,913,69sigur0,74–2,830,78–3,041,51–5,87mai sigur0,47–3,100,49–3,330,96–6,43
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
24%
14%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,483,756,23sigur1,04–3,922,20–5,313,24–9,23mai sigur0,66–4,301,77–5,742,43–10,04
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,81 0,84–2,78 0,59–3,03 | 1,05 0,19–1,90 0,00–2,13 | 2,85 1,03–4,68 0,55–5,16 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,05 4,18–7,91 3,69–8,40 | 3,37 1,62–5,11 1,16–5,58 | 9,41 5,81–13,02 4,85–13,97 | 76% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 17,47 13,55–21,40 12,46–22,49 | 10,41 6,84–13,97 5,88–14,93 | 27,88 20,39–35,37 18,34–37,42 | 89% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,95 8,01–13,89 7,18–14,72 | 6,48 3,80–9,16 3,06–9,90 | 17,43 11,81–23,05 10,24–24,62 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,53 2,65–6,41 2,10–6,96 | 2,72 1,06–4,37 0,57–4,86 | 7,25 3,71–10,78 2,67–11,82 | 69% 19% |
| Cornere | 6,19 3,98–8,40 3,40–8,98 | 3,56 1,56–5,56 1,03–6,09 | 9,75 5,53–13,96 4,43–15,07 | 75% 15% |
| Posesie % | 54,37 47,58–61,16 45,91–62,83 | 44,54 37,76–51,33 36,08–53,00 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 477 409–544 391–562 | 386 320–453 302–470 | 863 729–996 693–1032 | 77% 22% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,84 68,81–76,87 67,52–78,16 | 68,87 64,55–73,19 63,24–74,50 | — | 67% 28% |
| Faulturi | 12,81 9,98–15,65 9,22–16,41 | 11,50 8,56–14,45 7,81–15,20 | 24,32 18,54–30,10 17,03–31,60 | 56% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,13 0,97–3,29 0,67–3,59 | 1,81 0,72–2,91 0,43–3,19 | 3,94 1,69–6,20 1,10–6,78 | 46% 21% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,78 0,74–2,83 0,47–3,10 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,69 1,51–5,87 0,96–6,43 | 37% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,48 1,04–3,92 0,66–4,30 | 3,75 2,20–5,31 1,77–5,74 | 6,23 3,24–9,23 2,43–10,04 | 24% 14% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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