Primeira Liga·Etapa 31·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
27%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,171,372,54sigur0,20–2,140,52–2,230,72–4,36mai sigur0,00–2,390,29–2,450,24–4,84
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
14%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,814,568,37sigur1,94–5,672,82–6,314,77–11,98mai sigur1,45–6,162,36–6,773,81–12,93
Total șuturi
27%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0314,6126,64sigur8,10–15,9511,05–18,1719,15–34,13mai sigur7,01–17,0510,09–19,1317,10–36,18
Șuturi din careu
35%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,468,5015,95sigur4,51–10,405,82–11,1810,33–21,58mai sigur3,68–11,235,08–11,928,76–23,14
Șuturi blocate
36%
15%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,223,636,85sigur1,34–5,111,97–5,283,32–10,39mai sigur0,80–5,651,48–5,772,28–11,42
Cornere
34%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,615,3910,00sigur2,40–6,833,39–7,395,79–14,22mai sigur1,83–7,402,86–7,924,68–15,32
Posesie %
26%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,8054,62sigur38,01–51,5947,83–61,40mai sigur36,34–53,2646,16–63,07
Pase
28%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție386454840sigur319–453387–520706–974mai sigur301–471370–538670–1009
Precizie pase %
20%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,0473,18sigur63,01–71,0768,86–77,51mai sigur61,71–72,3667,55–78,82
Faulturi
37%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4313,6726,10sigur9,59–15,2710,72–16,6120,32–31,88mai sigur8,84–16,029,98–17,3618,81–33,39
Ofsaiduri
50%
21%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,051,523,57sigur0,89–3,210,43–2,611,31–5,82mai sigur0,59–3,510,14–2,900,72–6,41
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,772,123,89sigur0,72–2,820,99–3,251,71–6,07mai sigur0,45–3,080,70–3,541,15–6,62
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,20sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
51%
17%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,132,575,71sigur1,70–4,571,02–4,132,72–8,70mai sigur1,31–4,960,59–4,551,90–9,51
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,17 0,20–2,14 0,00–2,39 | 1,37 0,52–2,23 0,29–2,45 | 2,54 0,72–4,36 0,24–4,84 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,81 1,94–5,67 1,45–6,16 | 4,56 2,82–6,31 2,36–6,77 | 8,37 4,77–11,98 3,81–12,93 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 12,03 8,10–15,95 7,01–17,05 | 14,61 11,05–18,17 10,09–19,13 | 26,64 19,15–34,13 17,10–36,18 | 27% 66% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,46 4,51–10,40 3,68–11,23 | 8,50 5,82–11,18 5,08–11,92 | 15,95 10,33–21,58 8,76–23,14 | 35% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,22 1,34–5,11 0,80–5,65 | 3,63 1,97–5,28 1,48–5,77 | 6,85 3,32–10,39 2,28–11,42 | 36% 15% 48% |
| Cornere | 4,61 2,40–6,83 1,83–7,40 | 5,39 3,39–7,39 2,86–7,92 | 10,00 5,79–14,22 4,68–15,32 | 34% 53% |
| Posesie % | 44,80 38,01–51,59 36,34–53,26 | 54,62 47,83–61,40 46,16–63,07 | — | 26% 70% |
| Pase | 386 319–453 301–471 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 840 706–974 670–1009 | 28% 71% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,04 63,01–71,07 61,71–72,36 | 73,18 68,86–77,51 67,55–78,82 | — | 20% 77% |
| Faulturi | 12,43 9,59–15,27 8,84–16,02 | 13,67 10,72–16,61 9,98–17,36 | 26,10 20,32–31,88 18,81–33,39 | 37% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,05 0,89–3,21 0,59–3,51 | 1,52 0,43–2,61 0,14–2,90 | 3,57 1,31–5,82 0,72–6,41 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,72–2,82 0,45–3,08 | 2,12 0,99–3,25 0,70–3,54 | 3,89 1,71–6,07 1,15–6,62 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,13 1,70–4,57 1,31–4,96 | 2,57 1,02–4,13 0,59–4,55 | 5,71 2,72–8,70 1,90–9,51 | 51% 17% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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