Primeira Liga·Etapa 31·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
25%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,092,63sigur0,57–2,510,24–1,940,81–4,46mai sigur0,32–2,760,01–2,170,33–4,94
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
13%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,803,768,55sigur2,93–6,662,02–5,504,95–12,16mai sigur2,44–7,151,55–5,973,99–13,11
Total șuturi
76%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2211,1126,32sigur11,29–19,147,54–14,6718,84–33,81mai sigur10,20–20,236,58–15,6316,79–35,86
Șuturi din careu
72%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,086,3315,41sigur6,14–12,033,64–9,019,79–21,03mai sigur5,31–12,862,91–9,748,22–22,60
Șuturi blocate
56%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,933,006,93sigur2,05–5,811,35–4,663,40–10,47mai sigur1,50–6,360,86–5,152,36–11,50
Cornere
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,274,059,31sigur3,05–7,482,05–6,055,10–13,53mai sigur2,48–8,051,51–6,583,99–14,63
Posesie %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,7745,58sigur47,98–61,5638,80–52,37mai sigur46,31–63,2337,13–54,04
Pase
74%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție487410898sigur420–555344–477764–1031mai sigur402–573326–494728–1067
Precizie pase %
50%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,3272,81sigur69,29–77,3568,49–77,14mai sigur68,00–78,6467,18–78,45
Faulturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6111,7125,31sigur10,77–16,458,76–14,6519,53–31,10mai sigur10,02–17,208,01–15,4018,03–32,60
Ofsaiduri
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,833,31sigur0,32–2,640,74–2,931,06–5,57mai sigur0,02–2,940,45–3,220,47–6,15
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,152,214,36sigur1,10–3,201,08–3,342,19–6,54mai sigur0,84–3,470,79–3,631,63–7,10
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,140,25sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,320,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,460,00–0,88
Parade portar
32%
16%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,603,215,82sigur1,17–4,041,66–4,772,82–8,81mai sigur0,78–4,431,23–5,192,01–9,62
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,54 0,57–2,51 0,32–2,76 | 1,09 0,24–1,94 0,01–2,17 | 2,63 0,81–4,46 0,33–4,94 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,80 2,93–6,66 2,44–7,15 | 3,76 2,02–5,50 1,55–5,97 | 8,55 4,95–12,16 3,99–13,11 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 15,22 11,29–19,14 10,20–20,23 | 11,11 7,54–14,67 6,58–15,63 | 26,32 18,84–33,81 16,79–35,86 | 76% 18% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,08 6,14–12,03 5,31–12,86 | 6,33 3,64–9,01 2,91–9,74 | 15,41 9,79–21,03 8,22–22,60 | 72% 20% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,93 2,05–5,81 1,50–6,36 | 3,00 1,35–4,66 0,86–5,15 | 6,93 3,40–10,47 2,36–11,50 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,27 3,05–7,48 2,48–8,05 | 4,05 2,05–6,05 1,51–6,58 | 9,31 5,10–13,53 3,99–14,63 | 59% 29% |
| Posesie % | 54,77 47,98–61,56 46,31–63,23 | 45,58 38,80–52,37 37,13–54,04 | — | 69% 27% |
| Pase | 487 420–555 402–573 | 410 344–477 326–494 | 898 764–1031 728–1067 | 74% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,32 69,29–77,35 68,00–78,64 | 72,81 68,49–77,14 67,18–78,45 | — | 50% 45% |
| Faulturi | 13,61 10,77–16,45 10,02–17,20 | 11,71 8,76–14,65 8,01–15,40 | 25,31 19,53–31,10 18,03–32,60 | 61% 32% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,48 0,32–2,64 0,02–2,94 | 1,83 0,74–2,93 0,45–3,22 | 3,31 1,06–5,57 0,47–6,15 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,15 1,10–3,20 0,84–3,47 | 2,21 1,08–3,34 0,79–3,63 | 4,36 2,19–6,54 1,63–7,10 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,14 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,46 | 0,25 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 2,60 1,17–4,04 0,78–4,43 | 3,21 1,66–4,77 1,23–5,19 | 5,82 2,82–8,81 2,01–9,62 | 32% 16% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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