Primeira Liga·Etapa 31·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
25%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,560,812,37sigur0,59–2,530,00–1,660,55–4,19mai sigur0,34–2,780,00–1,890,07–4,67
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,872,837,70sigur3,01–6,731,08–4,574,09–11,30mai sigur2,52–7,220,62–5,043,14–12,26
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,799,1523,94sigur10,87–18,725,58–12,7116,45–31,43mai sigur9,78–19,814,62–13,6714,40–33,48
Șuturi din careu
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,545,5915,13sigur6,60–12,482,91–8,279,51–20,75mai sigur5,77–13,312,17–9,017,94–22,32
Șuturi blocate
68%
14%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,822,196,01sigur1,94–5,700,53–3,842,47–9,54mai sigur1,40–6,250,04–4,331,44–10,58
Cornere
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,783,519,29sigur3,57–7,991,51–5,515,07–13,50mai sigur2,99–8,570,98–6,043,97–14,61
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,3239,90sigur53,53–67,1133,11–46,68mai sigur51,86–68,7831,44–48,35
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție506337843sigur439–573271–404710–977mai sigur420–591254–421674–1013
Precizie pase %
72%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,9769,83sigur70,94–79,0065,51–74,16mai sigur69,64–80,2964,20–75,47
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4114,9228,32sigur10,57–16,2411,97–17,8622,54–34,10mai sigur9,81–17,0011,22–18,6121,04–35,61
Ofsaiduri
54%
22%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,941,233,17sigur0,78–3,100,14–2,320,92–5,42mai sigur0,48–3,400,00–2,610,33–6,01
Cartonașe galbene
21%
17%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,672,864,53sigur0,63–2,721,73–3,992,36–6,71mai sigur0,36–2,991,44–4,281,80–7,27
Cartonașe roșii
76%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,170,29sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,360,00–0,64mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,490,00–0,92
Parade portar
22%
16%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,023,255,27sigur0,59–3,461,69–4,802,28–8,26mai sigur0,20–3,851,27–5,231,46–9,07
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,56 0,59–2,53 0,34–2,78 | 0,81 0,00–1,66 0,00–1,89 | 2,37 0,55–4,19 0,07–4,67 | 55% 25% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,87 3,01–6,73 2,52–7,22 | 2,83 1,08–4,57 0,62–5,04 | 7,70 4,09–11,30 3,14–12,26 | 71% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 14,79 10,87–18,72 9,78–19,81 | 9,15 5,58–12,71 4,62–13,67 | 23,94 16,45–31,43 14,40–33,48 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,54 6,60–12,48 5,77–13,31 | 5,59 2,91–8,27 2,17–9,01 | 15,13 9,51–20,75 7,94–22,32 | 81% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,82 1,94–5,70 1,40–6,25 | 2,19 0,53–3,84 0,04–4,33 | 6,01 2,47–9,54 1,44–10,58 | 68% 14% 19% |
| Cornere | 5,78 3,57–7,99 2,99–8,57 | 3,51 1,51–5,51 0,98–6,04 | 9,29 5,07–13,50 3,97–14,61 | 72% 18% |
| Posesie % | 60,32 53,53–67,11 51,86–68,78 | 39,90 33,11–46,68 31,44–48,35 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 506 439–573 420–591 | 337 271–404 254–421 | 843 710–977 674–1013 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,97 70,94–79,00 69,64–80,29 | 69,83 65,51–74,16 64,20–75,47 | — | 72% 23% |
| Faulturi | 13,41 10,57–16,24 9,81–17,00 | 14,92 11,97–17,86 11,22–18,61 | 28,32 22,54–34,10 21,04–35,61 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,48–3,40 | 1,23 0,14–2,32 0,00–2,61 | 3,17 0,92–5,42 0,33–6,01 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,63–2,72 0,36–2,99 | 2,86 1,73–3,99 1,44–4,28 | 4,53 2,36–6,71 1,80–7,27 | 21% 17% 62% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,36 0,00–0,49 | 0,29 0,00–0,64 0,00–0,92 | 76% 14% |
| Parade portar | 2,02 0,59–3,46 0,20–3,85 | 3,25 1,69–4,80 1,27–5,23 | 5,27 2,28–8,26 1,46–9,07 | 22% 16% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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