Primeira Liga·Etapa 32·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
23%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,770,972,74sigur0,80–2,740,12–1,830,92–4,57mai sigur0,55–2,990,00–2,060,44–5,05
Șuturi pe poartă
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,483,188,67sigur3,62–7,341,44–4,935,06–12,27mai sigur3,13–7,830,98–5,394,11–13,23
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,7610,4226,18sigur11,84–19,696,86–13,9818,70–33,67mai sigur10,75–20,785,90–14,9416,65–35,72
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,486,6717,15sigur7,54–13,423,99–9,3511,53–22,77mai sigur6,71–14,253,25–10,099,96–24,34
Șuturi blocate
68%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,252,506,75sigur2,37–6,130,85–4,153,22–10,29mai sigur1,83–6,680,36–4,652,18–11,32
Cornere
79%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,613,5710,18sigur4,39–8,821,57–5,575,96–14,39mai sigur3,82–9,391,04–6,104,85–15,50
Posesie %
79%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,3042,45sigur50,51–64,0935,67–49,24mai sigur48,84–65,7633,99–50,91
Pase
83%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție476361837sigur409–544294–427703–971mai sigur391–562277–445668–1006
Precizie pase %
70%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,7968,15sigur68,76–76,8263,83–72,47mai sigur67,47–78,1162,52–73,78
Faulturi
57%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,6113,1727,78sigur11,78–17,4510,23–16,1122,00–33,57mai sigur11,02–18,219,48–16,8620,50–35,07
Ofsaiduri
44%
21%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,961,753,71sigur0,80–3,120,66–2,841,46–5,96mai sigur0,50–3,420,37–3,130,87–6,55
Cartonașe galbene
41%
20%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,162,094,24sigur1,11–3,200,96–3,222,06–6,42mai sigur0,84–3,470,67–3,511,51–6,98
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,120,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,310,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,440,00–0,84
Parade portar
24%
15%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,343,535,86sigur0,90–3,771,97–5,082,87–8,86mai sigur0,51–4,161,55–5,512,06–9,67
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,77 0,80–2,74 0,55–2,99 | 0,97 0,12–1,83 0,00–2,06 | 2,74 0,92–4,57 0,44–5,05 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,48 3,62–7,34 3,13–7,83 | 3,18 1,44–4,93 0,98–5,39 | 8,67 5,06–12,27 4,11–13,23 | 73% 17% |
| Total șuturi | 15,76 11,84–19,69 10,75–20,78 | 10,42 6,86–13,98 5,90–14,94 | 26,18 18,70–33,67 16,65–35,72 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,48 7,54–13,42 6,71–14,25 | 6,67 3,99–9,35 3,25–10,09 | 17,15 11,53–22,77 9,96–24,34 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,25 2,37–6,13 1,83–6,68 | 2,50 0,85–4,15 0,36–4,65 | 6,75 3,22–10,29 2,18–11,32 | 68% 19% |
| Cornere | 6,61 4,39–8,82 3,82–9,39 | 3,57 1,57–5,57 1,04–6,10 | 10,18 5,96–14,39 4,85–15,50 | 79% 13% |
| Posesie % | 57,30 50,51–64,09 48,84–65,76 | 42,45 35,67–49,24 33,99–50,91 | — | 79% 17% |
| Pase | 476 409–544 391–562 | 361 294–427 277–445 | 837 703–971 668–1006 | 83% 17% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,79 68,76–76,82 67,47–78,11 | 68,15 63,83–72,47 62,52–73,78 | — | 70% 25% |
| Faulturi | 14,61 11,78–17,45 11,02–18,21 | 13,17 10,23–16,11 9,48–16,86 | 27,78 22,00–33,57 20,50–35,07 | 57% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,96 0,80–3,12 0,50–3,42 | 1,75 0,66–2,84 0,37–3,13 | 3,71 1,46–5,96 0,87–6,55 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,16 1,11–3,20 0,84–3,47 | 2,09 0,96–3,22 0,67–3,51 | 4,24 2,06–6,42 1,51–6,98 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,34 0,90–3,77 0,51–4,16 | 3,53 1,97–5,08 1,55–5,51 | 5,86 2,87–8,86 2,06–9,67 | 24% 15% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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