Primeira Liga·Etapa 33·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
25%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,461,382,83sigur0,49–2,420,52–2,231,01–4,66mai sigur0,24–2,670,30–2,460,53–5,14
Șuturi pe poartă
41%
13%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,404,588,98sigur2,54–6,262,84–6,325,37–12,58mai sigur2,05–6,752,37–6,794,42–13,54
Total șuturi
62%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4512,3526,80sigur10,53–18,388,78–15,9119,31–34,29mai sigur9,44–19,477,82–16,8717,26–36,34
Șuturi din careu
49%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,678,2216,89sigur5,73–11,615,54–10,9011,27–22,51mai sigur4,90–12,444,80–11,649,70–24,08
Șuturi blocate
54%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,712,956,66sigur1,83–5,591,30–4,613,13–10,20mai sigur1,28–6,130,81–5,102,09–11,23
Cornere
54%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,994,199,18sigur2,77–7,202,19–6,194,96–13,39mai sigur2,20–7,771,66–6,733,86–14,50
Posesie %
58%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,4247,87sigur45,63–59,2141,09–54,66mai sigur43,96–60,8839,42–56,33
Pase
65%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție492444936sigur424–559378–511802–1069mai sigur406–577360–528766–1105
Precizie pase %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,6374,50sigur68,60–76,6670,17–78,82mai sigur67,31–77,9668,86–80,13
Faulturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0712,0725,14sigur10,23–15,909,13–15,0219,36–30,92mai sigur9,47–16,668,38–15,7717,85–32,42
Ofsaiduri
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,853,36sigur0,35–2,670,75–2,941,11–5,61mai sigur0,05–2,980,46–3,230,52–6,20
Cartonașe galbene
43%
20%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,192,014,20sigur1,14–3,240,88–3,142,02–6,38mai sigur0,87–3,500,59–3,431,46–6,93
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,120,22sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,300,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,440,00–0,85
Parade portar
43%
17%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,872,745,61sigur1,43–4,301,19–4,302,62–8,60mai sigur1,04–4,690,76–4,721,81–9,42
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,46 0,49–2,42 0,24–2,67 | 1,38 0,52–2,23 0,30–2,46 | 2,83 1,01–4,66 0,53–5,14 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,40 2,54–6,26 2,05–6,75 | 4,58 2,84–6,32 2,37–6,79 | 8,98 5,37–12,58 4,42–13,54 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 14,45 10,53–18,38 9,44–19,47 | 12,35 8,78–15,91 7,82–16,87 | 26,80 19,31–34,29 17,26–36,34 | 62% 31% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,67 5,73–11,61 4,90–12,44 | 8,22 5,54–10,90 4,80–11,64 | 16,89 11,27–22,51 9,70–24,08 | 49% 41% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,71 1,83–5,59 1,28–6,13 | 2,95 1,30–4,61 0,81–5,10 | 6,66 3,13–10,20 2,09–11,23 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Cornere | 4,99 2,77–7,20 2,20–7,77 | 4,19 2,19–6,19 1,66–6,73 | 9,18 4,96–13,39 3,86–14,50 | 54% 33% |
| Posesie % | 52,42 45,63–59,21 43,96–60,88 | 47,87 41,09–54,66 39,42–56,33 | — | 58% 37% |
| Pase | 492 424–559 406–577 | 444 378–511 360–528 | 936 802–1069 766–1105 | 65% 34% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,63 68,60–76,66 67,31–77,96 | 74,50 70,17–78,82 68,86–80,13 | — | 38% 57% |
| Faulturi | 13,07 10,23–15,90 9,47–16,66 | 12,07 9,13–15,02 8,38–15,77 | 25,14 19,36–30,92 17,85–32,42 | 54% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,51 0,35–2,67 0,05–2,98 | 1,85 0,75–2,94 0,46–3,23 | 3,36 1,11–5,61 0,52–6,20 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,19 1,14–3,24 0,87–3,50 | 2,01 0,88–3,14 0,59–3,43 | 4,20 2,02–6,38 1,46–6,93 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,87 1,43–4,30 1,04–4,69 | 2,74 1,19–4,30 0,76–4,72 | 5,61 2,62–8,60 1,81–9,42 | 43% 17% 39% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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