Primeira Liga·Etapa 33·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
26%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,152,58sigur0,46–2,400,30–2,010,76–4,40mai sigur0,21–2,650,07–2,230,28–4,88
Șuturi pe poartă
54%
14%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,503,738,23sigur2,64–6,361,99–5,474,62–11,83mai sigur2,15–6,851,52–5,943,67–12,79
Total șuturi
67%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9211,2725,19sigur9,99–17,847,71–14,8417,70–32,68mai sigur8,90–18,936,75–15,8015,65–34,73
Șuturi din careu
61%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,697,1115,80sigur5,74–11,634,43–9,7910,18–21,42mai sigur4,91–12,463,70–10,538,61–22,99
Șuturi blocate
53%
16%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,322,655,97sigur1,44–5,210,99–4,302,44–9,51mai sigur0,90–5,750,50–4,791,40–10,54
Cornere
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,694,259,94sigur3,48–7,912,25–6,255,73–14,16mai sigur2,91–8,481,72–6,784,62–15,26
Posesie %
53%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,0948,72sigur44,30–57,8841,93–55,50mai sigur42,63–59,5540,26–57,18
Pase
57%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție422402824sigur355–489335–468690–958mai sigur337–507318–486655–993
Precizie pase %
33%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,8269,67sigur62,79–70,8565,35–73,99mai sigur61,49–72,1464,04–75,30
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6613,3727,03sigur10,83–16,5010,42–16,3121,25–32,81mai sigur10,07–17,269,67–17,0619,74–34,32
Ofsaiduri
52%
23%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,192,99sigur0,65–2,970,09–2,280,74–5,25mai sigur0,35–3,270,00–2,570,15–5,84
Cartonașe galbene
37%
20%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,022,164,18sigur0,97–3,071,04–3,292,01–6,36mai sigur0,70–3,330,74–3,591,45–6,92
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,130,22sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,310,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,450,00–0,85
Parade portar
37%
17%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,612,875,47sigur1,17–4,041,31–4,422,48–8,47mai sigur0,78–4,430,89–4,851,67–9,28
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,43 0,46–2,40 0,21–2,65 | 1,15 0,30–2,01 0,07–2,23 | 2,58 0,76–4,40 0,28–4,88 | 43% 26% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,50 2,64–6,36 2,15–6,85 | 3,73 1,99–5,47 1,52–5,94 | 8,23 4,62–11,83 3,67–12,79 | 54% 14% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 13,92 9,99–17,84 8,90–18,93 | 11,27 7,71–14,84 6,75–15,80 | 25,19 17,70–32,68 15,65–34,73 | 67% 27% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,69 5,74–11,63 4,91–12,46 | 7,11 4,43–9,79 3,70–10,53 | 15,80 10,18–21,42 8,61–22,99 | 61% 30% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,32 1,44–5,21 0,90–5,75 | 2,65 0,99–4,30 0,50–4,79 | 5,97 2,44–9,51 1,40–10,54 | 53% 16% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,69 3,48–7,91 2,91–8,48 | 4,25 2,25–6,25 1,72–6,78 | 9,94 5,73–14,16 4,62–15,26 | 62% 27% |
| Posesie % | 51,09 44,30–57,88 42,63–59,55 | 48,72 41,93–55,50 40,26–57,18 | — | 53% 42% |
| Pase | 422 355–489 337–507 | 402 335–468 318–486 | 824 690–958 655–993 | 57% 43% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,82 62,79–70,85 61,49–72,14 | 69,67 65,35–73,99 64,04–75,30 | — | 33% 62% |
| Faulturi | 13,66 10,83–16,50 10,07–17,26 | 13,37 10,42–16,31 9,67–17,06 | 27,03 21,25–32,81 19,74–34,32 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,81 0,65–2,97 0,35–3,27 | 1,19 0,09–2,28 0,00–2,57 | 2,99 0,74–5,25 0,15–5,84 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,02 0,97–3,07 0,70–3,33 | 2,16 1,04–3,29 0,74–3,59 | 4,18 2,01–6,36 1,45–6,92 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,61 1,17–4,04 0,78–4,43 | 2,87 1,31–4,42 0,89–4,85 | 5,47 2,48–8,47 1,67–9,28 | 37% 17% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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