Primeira Liga·Etapa 33·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
22%
22%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,121,953,07sigur0,15–2,091,09–2,801,24–4,89mai sigur0,00–2,340,86–3,030,77–5,37
Șuturi pe poartă
20%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,845,919,75sigur1,98–5,704,16–7,656,14–13,35mai sigur1,49–6,193,70–8,115,19–14,31
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0516,5527,61sigur7,13–14,9812,99–20,1220,12–35,10mai sigur6,04–16,0712,03–21,0818,07–37,15
Șuturi din careu
14%
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,4310,2616,68sigur3,48–9,377,58–12,9411,06–22,31mai sigur2,65–10,206,84–13,689,49–23,87
Șuturi blocate
24%
14%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,734,036,76sigur0,85–4,612,38–5,693,23–10,30mai sigur0,30–5,161,89–6,182,19–11,34
Cornere
19%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,996,2710,25sigur1,77–6,204,27–8,276,04–14,47mai sigur1,20–6,773,74–8,804,93–15,57
Posesie %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,1755,25sigur37,38–50,9648,46–62,03mai sigur35,71–52,6346,79–63,70
Pase
25%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție385467852sigur318–452400–533718–985mai sigur300–470383–551682–1021
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,9976,28sigur64,96–73,0271,96–80,61mai sigur63,67–74,3170,65–81,92
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3214,8827,20sigur9,48–15,1611,94–17,8321,42–32,98mai sigur8,73–15,9111,19–18,5819,92–34,49
Ofsaiduri
50%
22%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,001,473,47sigur0,84–3,170,37–2,561,22–5,72mai sigur0,54–3,470,09–2,850,63–6,31
Cartonașe galbene
34%
20%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,962,284,24sigur0,91–3,011,15–3,412,06–6,41mai sigur0,64–3,270,86–3,701,50–6,97
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,130,22sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,320,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,450,00–0,86
Parade portar
64%
14%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,922,526,44sigur2,49–5,360,97–4,083,45–9,44mai sigur2,10–5,750,54–4,502,64–10,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,12 0,15–2,09 0,00–2,34 | 1,95 1,09–2,80 0,86–3,03 | 3,07 1,24–4,89 0,77–5,37 | 22% 22% 57% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,84 1,98–5,70 1,49–6,19 | 5,91 4,16–7,65 3,70–8,11 | 9,75 6,14–13,35 5,19–14,31 | 20% 69% |
| Total șuturi | 11,05 7,13–14,98 6,04–16,07 | 16,55 12,99–20,12 12,03–21,08 | 27,61 20,12–35,10 18,07–37,15 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,43 3,48–9,37 2,65–10,20 | 10,26 7,58–12,94 6,84–13,68 | 16,68 11,06–22,31 9,49–23,87 | 14% 79% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,73 0,85–4,61 0,30–5,16 | 4,03 2,38–5,69 1,89–6,18 | 6,76 3,23–10,30 2,19–11,34 | 24% 14% 62% |
| Cornere | 3,99 1,77–6,20 1,20–6,77 | 6,27 4,27–8,27 3,74–8,80 | 10,25 6,04–14,47 4,93–15,57 | 19% 71% |
| Posesie % | 44,17 37,38–50,96 35,71–52,63 | 55,25 48,46–62,03 46,79–63,70 | — | 24% 72% |
| Pase | 385 318–452 300–470 | 467 400–533 383–551 | 852 718–985 682–1021 | 25% 75% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,99 64,96–73,02 63,67–74,31 | 76,28 71,96–80,61 70,65–81,92 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 12,32 9,48–15,16 8,73–15,91 | 14,88 11,94–17,83 11,19–18,58 | 27,20 21,42–32,98 19,92–34,49 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,00 0,84–3,17 0,54–3,47 | 1,47 0,37–2,56 0,09–2,85 | 3,47 1,22–5,72 0,63–6,31 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,96 0,91–3,01 0,64–3,27 | 2,28 1,15–3,41 0,86–3,70 | 4,24 2,06–6,41 1,50–6,97 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,92 2,49–5,36 2,10–5,75 | 2,52 0,97–4,08 0,54–4,50 | 6,44 3,45–9,44 2,64–10,25 | 64% 14% 22% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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