Primeira Liga·Etapa 33·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
23%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,132,99sigur0,89–2,820,28–1,991,16–4,81mai sigur0,64–3,070,05–2,220,68–5,29
Șuturi pe poartă
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,954,1810,13sigur4,08–7,812,44–5,926,52–13,73mai sigur3,59–8,301,97–6,395,57–14,69
Total șuturi
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,0811,2828,36sigur13,16–21,017,72–14,8420,88–35,85mai sigur12,07–22,106,76–15,8018,83–37,90
Șuturi din careu
77%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,486,9017,38sigur7,53–13,424,22–9,5811,75–23,00mai sigur6,70–14,253,48–10,3210,19–24,57
Șuturi blocate
65%
13%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,302,757,04sigur2,41–6,181,10–4,403,51–10,58mai sigur1,87–6,720,60–4,892,47–11,61
Cornere
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,983,659,63sigur3,76–8,191,65–5,655,41–13,84mai sigur3,19–8,761,12–6,184,31–14,95
Posesie %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,5445,59sigur46,75–60,3338,80–52,37mai sigur45,08–62,0037,13–54,04
Pase
68%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție496439935sigur429–564372–505801–1069mai sigur411–582355–523766–1104
Precizie pase %
53%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție79,3278,30sigur75,29–83,3573,97–82,62mai sigur74,00–84,6472,66–83,93
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0612,8325,89sigur10,23–15,909,88–15,7720,11–31,68mai sigur9,47–16,669,14–16,5218,61–33,18
Ofsaiduri
43%
25%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,272,79sigur0,35–2,670,18–2,370,53–5,04mai sigur0,05–2,970,00–2,660,00–5,63
Cartonașe galbene
34%
19%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,202,574,77sigur1,15–3,251,44–3,702,59–6,95mai sigur0,89–3,521,15–3,992,04–7,51
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,140,23sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,330,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,460,00–0,86
Parade portar
28%
15%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,743,666,40sigur1,30–4,172,10–5,223,41–9,39mai sigur0,91–4,561,68–5,642,59–10,20
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,85 0,89–2,82 0,64–3,07 | 1,13 0,28–1,99 0,05–2,22 | 2,99 1,16–4,81 0,68–5,29 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,95 4,08–7,81 3,59–8,30 | 4,18 2,44–5,92 1,97–6,39 | 10,13 6,52–13,73 5,57–14,69 | 65% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 17,08 13,16–21,01 12,07–22,10 | 11,28 7,72–14,84 6,76–15,80 | 28,36 20,88–35,85 18,83–37,90 | 84% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,48 7,53–13,42 6,70–14,25 | 6,90 4,22–9,58 3,48–10,32 | 17,38 11,75–23,00 10,19–24,57 | 77% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,30 2,41–6,18 1,87–6,72 | 2,75 1,10–4,40 0,60–4,89 | 7,04 3,51–10,58 2,47–11,61 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Cornere | 5,98 3,76–8,19 3,19–8,76 | 3,65 1,65–5,65 1,12–6,18 | 9,63 5,41–13,84 4,31–14,95 | 72% 18% |
| Posesie % | 53,54 46,75–60,33 45,08–62,00 | 45,59 38,80–52,37 37,13–54,04 | — | 66% 30% |
| Pase | 496 429–564 411–582 | 439 372–505 355–523 | 935 801–1069 766–1104 | 68% 31% |
| Precizie pase % | 79,32 75,29–83,35 74,00–84,64 | 78,30 73,97–82,62 72,66–83,93 | — | 53% 42% |
| Faulturi | 13,06 10,23–15,90 9,47–16,66 | 12,83 9,88–15,77 9,14–16,52 | 25,89 20,11–31,68 18,61–33,18 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,51 0,35–2,67 0,05–2,97 | 1,27 0,18–2,37 0,00–2,66 | 2,79 0,53–5,04 0,00–5,63 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,20 1,15–3,25 0,89–3,52 | 2,57 1,44–3,70 1,15–3,99 | 4,77 2,59–6,95 2,04–7,51 | 34% 19% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,74 1,30–4,17 0,91–4,56 | 3,66 2,10–5,22 1,68–5,64 | 6,40 3,41–9,39 2,59–10,20 | 28% 15% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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