Primeira Liga·Etapa 34·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
24%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,690,842,52sigur0,72–2,650,00–1,690,70–4,34mai sigur0,47–2,900,00–1,920,22–4,82
Șuturi pe poartă
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,472,978,45sigur3,61–7,341,23–4,724,84–12,05mai sigur3,12–7,830,77–5,183,89–13,01
Total șuturi
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,859,2725,12sigur11,93–19,785,71–12,8417,64–32,61mai sigur10,84–20,874,75–13,7915,59–34,66
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,905,6915,60sigur6,96–12,853,01–8,379,97–21,22mai sigur6,13–13,672,28–9,118,41–22,79
Șuturi blocate
60%
14%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,912,726,63sigur2,03–5,791,07–4,373,10–10,17mai sigur1,49–6,340,58–4,872,06–11,20
Cornere
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,733,459,18sigur3,51–7,941,45–5,454,97–13,39mai sigur2,94–8,510,92–5,993,86–14,50
Posesie %
64%
31%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,4146,21sigur46,62–60,2039,42–52,99mai sigur44,95–61,8737,75–54,67
Pase
78%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție521428949sigur453–588362–495815–1083mai sigur435–606344–512780–1118
Precizie pase %
51%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,0974,32sigur71,06–79,1270,00–78,65mai sigur69,77–80,4168,69–79,95
Faulturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7811,0522,83sigur8,94–14,628,11–14,0017,05–28,62mai sigur8,19–15,377,36–14,7515,55–30,12
Ofsaiduri
50%
23%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,232,99sigur0,60–2,920,13–2,320,74–5,24mai sigur0,30–3,220,00–2,610,15–5,83
Cartonașe galbene
38%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,673,32sigur0,60–2,690,54–2,801,14–5,50mai sigur0,33–2,960,25–3,090,58–6,05
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
21%
15%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,173,555,72sigur0,73–3,611,99–5,102,72–8,71mai sigur0,35–3,991,56–5,531,91–9,52
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,69 0,72–2,65 0,47–2,90 | 0,84 0,00–1,69 0,00–1,92 | 2,52 0,70–4,34 0,22–4,82 | 58% 24% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,47 3,61–7,34 3,12–7,83 | 2,97 1,23–4,72 0,77–5,18 | 8,45 4,84–12,05 3,89–13,01 | 76% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 15,85 11,93–19,78 10,84–20,87 | 9,27 5,71–12,84 4,75–13,79 | 25,12 17,64–32,61 15,59–34,66 | 89% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,90 6,96–12,85 6,13–13,67 | 5,69 3,01–8,37 2,28–9,11 | 15,60 9,97–21,22 8,41–22,79 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,91 2,03–5,79 1,49–6,34 | 2,72 1,07–4,37 0,58–4,87 | 6,63 3,10–10,17 2,06–11,20 | 60% 14% 25% |
| Cornere | 5,73 3,51–7,94 2,94–8,51 | 3,45 1,45–5,45 0,92–5,99 | 9,18 4,97–13,39 3,86–14,50 | 72% 18% |
| Posesie % | 53,41 46,62–60,20 44,95–61,87 | 46,21 39,42–52,99 37,75–54,67 | — | 64% 31% |
| Pase | 521 453–588 435–606 | 428 362–495 344–512 | 949 815–1083 780–1118 | 78% 22% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,09 71,06–79,12 69,77–80,41 | 74,32 70,00–78,65 68,69–79,95 | — | 51% 43% |
| Faulturi | 11,78 8,94–14,62 8,19–15,37 | 11,05 8,11–14,00 7,36–14,75 | 22,83 17,05–28,62 15,55–30,12 | 52% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,76 0,60–2,92 0,30–3,22 | 1,23 0,13–2,32 0,00–2,61 | 2,99 0,74–5,24 0,15–5,83 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,60–2,69 0,33–2,96 | 1,67 0,54–2,80 0,25–3,09 | 3,32 1,14–5,50 0,58–6,05 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,17 0,73–3,61 0,35–3,99 | 3,55 1,99–5,10 1,56–5,53 | 5,72 2,72–8,71 1,91–9,52 | 21% 15% 64% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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