Primeira Liga·Etapa 34·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
28%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,042,31sigur0,31–2,240,18–1,890,49–4,13mai sigur0,05–2,490,00–2,120,01–4,61
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
14%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,563,938,49sigur2,69–6,422,19–5,684,88–12,09mai sigur2,20–6,911,72–6,143,93–13,05
Total șuturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3911,1825,58sigur10,47–18,327,62–14,7418,09–33,06mai sigur9,38–19,416,66–15,7016,04–35,11
Șuturi din careu
61%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,286,6614,93sigur5,34–11,223,98–9,349,31–20,56mai sigur4,51–12,053,24–10,077,74–22,12
Șuturi blocate
58%
15%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,562,566,13sigur1,68–5,450,91–4,222,59–9,66mai sigur1,14–5,990,42–4,711,56–10,70
Cornere
49%
13%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,904,509,40sigur2,69–7,122,50–6,505,19–13,61mai sigur2,12–7,691,96–7,034,08–14,72
Posesie %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,5750,63sigur42,78–56,3643,85–57,42mai sigur41,11–58,0342,18–59,09
Pase
45%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție408422830sigur341–476355–488697–964mai sigur323–494338–506661–1000
Precizie pase %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,9473,70sigur65,91–73,9769,37–78,02mai sigur64,62–75,2668,06–79,33
Faulturi
45%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9914,2128,20sigur11,15–16,8311,27–17,1622,42–33,98mai sigur10,39–17,5810,52–17,9120,91–35,49
Ofsaiduri
28%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,913,29sigur0,22–2,540,82–3,001,03–5,54mai sigur0,00–2,840,53–3,290,44–6,13
Cartonașe galbene
41%
19%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,332,274,60sigur1,28–3,371,14–3,402,42–6,78mai sigur1,01–3,640,85–3,691,86–7,33
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,140,26sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,330,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,460,00–0,89
Parade portar
30%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,533,275,81sigur1,10–3,971,72–4,832,82–8,80mai sigur0,71–4,361,29–5,252,00–9,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,27 0,31–2,24 0,05–2,49 | 1,04 0,18–1,89 0,00–2,12 | 2,31 0,49–4,13 0,01–4,61 | 42% 28% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,56 2,69–6,42 2,20–6,91 | 3,93 2,19–5,68 1,72–6,14 | 8,49 4,88–12,09 3,93–13,05 | 52% 14% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 14,39 10,47–18,32 9,38–19,41 | 11,18 7,62–14,74 6,66–15,70 | 25,58 18,09–33,06 16,04–35,11 | 70% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,28 5,34–11,22 4,51–12,05 | 6,66 3,98–9,34 3,24–10,07 | 14,93 9,31–20,56 7,74–22,12 | 61% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,56 1,68–5,45 1,14–5,99 | 2,56 0,91–4,22 0,42–4,71 | 6,13 2,59–9,66 1,56–10,70 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Cornere | 4,90 2,69–7,12 2,12–7,69 | 4,50 2,50–6,50 1,96–7,03 | 9,40 5,19–13,61 4,08–14,72 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Posesie % | 49,57 42,78–56,36 41,11–58,03 | 50,63 43,85–57,42 42,18–59,09 | — | 45% 50% |
| Pase | 408 341–476 323–494 | 422 355–488 338–506 | 830 697–964 661–1000 | 45% 54% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,94 65,91–73,97 64,62–75,26 | 73,70 69,37–78,02 68,06–79,33 | — | 29% 66% |
| Faulturi | 13,99 11,15–16,83 10,39–17,58 | 14,21 11,27–17,16 10,52–17,91 | 28,20 22,42–33,98 20,91–35,49 | 45% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,38 0,22–2,54 0,00–2,84 | 1,91 0,82–3,00 0,53–3,29 | 3,29 1,03–5,54 0,44–6,13 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,33 1,28–3,37 1,01–3,64 | 2,27 1,14–3,40 0,85–3,69 | 4,60 2,42–6,78 1,86–7,33 | 41% 19% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,26 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,89 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 2,53 1,10–3,97 0,71–4,36 | 3,27 1,72–4,83 1,29–5,25 | 5,81 2,82–8,80 2,00–9,61 | 30% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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