Primeira Liga·Etapa 34·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
26%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,461,142,59sigur0,49–2,430,28–1,990,77–4,42mai sigur0,24–2,680,05–2,220,29–4,90
Șuturi pe poartă
60%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,933,678,60sigur3,07–6,791,93–5,415,00–12,21mai sigur2,58–7,281,46–5,884,04–13,16
Total șuturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,8511,2326,08sigur10,92–18,777,67–14,7918,59–33,56mai sigur9,83–19,866,71–15,7516,54–35,61
Șuturi din careu
67%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,016,7815,79sigur6,07–11,954,10–9,4610,16–21,41mai sigur5,24–12,783,36–10,208,60–22,98
Șuturi blocate
53%
15%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,863,167,02sigur1,98–5,741,51–4,823,49–10,56mai sigur1,44–6,291,02–5,312,45–11,60
Cornere
59%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,113,919,02sigur2,90–7,321,91–5,914,81–13,23mai sigur2,32–7,901,38–6,453,70–14,34
Posesie %
48%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7149,66sigur42,92–56,5042,87–56,44mai sigur41,25–58,1741,20–58,11
Pase
51%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție426422849sigur359–494356–489715–982mai sigur341–512338–506679–1018
Precizie pase %
41%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,2073,39sigur68,17–76,2369,06–77,71mai sigur66,87–77,5267,75–79,02
Faulturi
68%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,0712,1827,25sigur12,23–17,919,24–15,1321,47–33,03mai sigur11,47–18,668,49–15,8819,96–34,54
Ofsaiduri
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,743,26sigur0,35–2,670,65–2,841,00–5,51mai sigur0,05–2,970,36–3,120,41–6,10
Cartonașe galbene
50%
19%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,461,964,41sigur1,41–3,510,83–3,092,24–6,59mai sigur1,14–3,770,54–3,381,68–7,15
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,130,26sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,310,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,450,00–0,89
Parade portar
30%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,513,285,79sigur1,08–3,951,72–4,832,80–8,78mai sigur0,69–4,341,30–5,261,98–9,59
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,46 0,49–2,43 0,24–2,68 | 1,14 0,28–1,99 0,05–2,22 | 2,59 0,77–4,42 0,29–4,90 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,93 3,07–6,79 2,58–7,28 | 3,67 1,93–5,41 1,46–5,88 | 8,60 5,00–12,21 4,04–13,16 | 60% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 14,85 10,92–18,77 9,83–19,86 | 11,23 7,67–14,79 6,71–15,75 | 26,08 18,59–33,56 16,54–35,61 | 73% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,01 6,07–11,95 5,24–12,78 | 6,78 4,10–9,46 3,36–10,20 | 15,79 10,16–21,41 8,60–22,98 | 67% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,86 1,98–5,74 1,44–6,29 | 3,16 1,51–4,82 1,02–5,31 | 7,02 3,49–10,56 2,45–11,60 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,11 2,90–7,32 2,32–7,90 | 3,91 1,91–5,91 1,38–6,45 | 9,02 4,81–13,23 3,70–14,34 | 59% 28% |
| Posesie % | 49,71 42,92–56,50 41,25–58,17 | 49,66 42,87–56,44 41,20–58,11 | — | 48% 48% |
| Pase | 426 359–494 341–512 | 422 356–489 338–506 | 849 715–982 679–1018 | 51% 49% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,20 68,17–76,23 66,87–77,52 | 73,39 69,06–77,71 67,75–79,02 | — | 41% 54% |
| Faulturi | 15,07 12,23–17,91 11,47–18,66 | 12,18 9,24–15,13 8,49–15,88 | 27,25 21,47–33,03 19,96–34,54 | 68% 26% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,51 0,35–2,67 0,05–2,97 | 1,74 0,65–2,84 0,36–3,12 | 3,26 1,00–5,51 0,41–6,10 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,46 1,41–3,51 1,14–3,77 | 1,96 0,83–3,09 0,54–3,38 | 4,41 2,24–6,59 1,68–7,15 | 50% 19% 31% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,26 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,89 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 2,51 1,08–3,95 0,69–4,34 | 3,28 1,72–4,83 1,30–5,26 | 5,79 2,80–8,78 1,98–9,59 | 30% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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