Süper Lig·Etapa 9·
Süper Lig·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
27%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,012,36sigur0,38–2,320,15–1,860,54–4,18mai sigur0,13–2,570,00–2,090,06–4,66
Șuturi pe poartă
55%
14%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,503,638,13sigur2,64–6,361,89–5,384,53–11,74mai sigur2,15–6,851,43–5,843,57–12,70
Total șuturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7810,6824,45sigur9,85–17,707,11–14,2416,97–31,94mai sigur8,76–18,796,15–15,2014,91–33,99
Șuturi din careu
68%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,546,2914,83sigur5,60–11,493,61–8,979,21–20,46mai sigur4,77–12,322,87–9,717,64–22,02
Șuturi blocate
60%
15%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,732,606,33sigur1,85–5,610,94–4,252,79–9,86mai sigur1,30–6,150,45–4,741,75–10,90
Cornere
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,323,779,09sigur3,11–7,541,77–5,774,88–13,31mai sigur2,54–8,111,24–6,303,77–14,41
Posesie %
46%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7150,37sigur42,92–56,5043,58–57,15mai sigur41,25–58,1741,91–58,82
Pase
50%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție405405809sigur337–472338–471676–943mai sigur319–490321–489640–979
Precizie pase %
53%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție82,0280,90sigur77,99–86,0576,57–85,22mai sigur76,70–87,3475,26–86,53
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0913,2226,32sigur10,26–15,9310,28–16,1720,54–32,10mai sigur9,50–16,699,53–16,9219,03–33,61
Ofsaiduri
32%
25%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,281,512,79sigur0,12–2,440,42–2,600,54–5,05mai sigur0,00–2,750,13–2,890,00–5,64
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,962,354,31sigur0,91–3,011,22–3,482,13–6,49mai sigur0,64–3,270,93–3,771,57–7,05
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,19sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,310,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,440,00–0,82
Parade portar
32%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,442,995,43sigur1,01–3,881,43–4,542,44–8,42mai sigur0,62–4,271,01–4,971,63–9,24
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,38–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,01 0,15–1,86 0,00–2,09 | 2,36 0,54–4,18 0,06–4,66 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,50 2,64–6,36 2,15–6,85 | 3,63 1,89–5,38 1,43–5,84 | 8,13 4,53–11,74 3,57–12,70 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Total șuturi | 13,78 9,85–17,70 8,76–18,79 | 10,68 7,11–14,24 6,15–15,20 | 24,45 16,97–31,94 14,91–33,99 | 70% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,54 5,60–11,49 4,77–12,32 | 6,29 3,61–8,97 2,87–9,71 | 14,83 9,21–20,46 7,64–22,02 | 68% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,73 1,85–5,61 1,30–6,15 | 2,60 0,94–4,25 0,45–4,74 | 6,33 2,79–9,86 1,75–10,90 | 60% 15% 26% |
| Cornere | 5,32 3,11–7,54 2,54–8,11 | 3,77 1,77–5,77 1,24–6,30 | 9,09 4,88–13,31 3,77–14,41 | 64% 25% |
| Posesie % | 49,71 42,92–56,50 41,25–58,17 | 50,37 43,58–57,15 41,91–58,82 | — | 46% 49% |
| Pase | 405 337–472 319–490 | 405 338–471 321–489 | 809 676–943 640–979 | 50% 50% |
| Precizie pase % | 82,02 77,99–86,05 76,70–87,34 | 80,90 76,57–85,22 75,26–86,53 | — | 53% 42% |
| Faulturi | 13,09 10,26–15,93 9,50–16,69 | 13,22 10,28–16,17 9,53–16,92 | 26,32 20,54–32,10 19,03–33,61 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,28 0,12–2,44 0,00–2,75 | 1,51 0,42–2,60 0,13–2,89 | 2,79 0,54–5,05 0,00–5,64 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,96 0,91–3,01 0,64–3,27 | 2,35 1,22–3,48 0,93–3,77 | 4,31 2,13–6,49 1,57–7,05 | 33% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,44 1,01–3,88 0,62–4,27 | 2,99 1,43–4,54 1,01–4,97 | 5,43 2,44–8,42 1,63–9,24 | 32% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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