Süper Lig·Etapa 9·
Süper Lig·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
26%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,202,62sigur0,45–2,390,35–2,060,80–4,44mai sigur0,20–2,640,12–2,290,32–4,92
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,694,158,84sigur2,83–6,552,41–5,895,23–12,44mai sigur2,34–7,041,94–6,364,28–13,40
Total șuturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5611,9825,54sigur9,64–17,498,42–15,5418,06–33,03mai sigur8,55–18,587,46–16,5016,01–35,08
Șuturi din careu
51%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,237,6715,90sigur5,29–11,174,99–10,3510,27–21,52mai sigur4,46–12,004,25–11,098,71–23,09
Șuturi blocate
44%
16%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,353,216,56sigur1,47–5,231,56–4,873,03–10,10mai sigur0,92–5,771,07–5,361,99–11,13
Cornere
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,294,129,41sigur3,08–7,502,12–6,125,19–13,62mai sigur2,50–8,081,58–6,654,09–14,73
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,3442,90sigur50,55–64,1336,11–49,68mai sigur48,88–65,8034,44–51,35
Pase
85%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție506384890sigur439–573318–450757–1024mai sigur421–592300–468721–1060
Precizie pase %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție83,7979,74sigur79,76–87,8275,42–84,06mai sigur78,46–89,1174,11–85,37
Faulturi
31%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3214,3626,68sigur9,49–15,1611,41–17,3020,90–32,46mai sigur8,73–15,9210,67–18,0519,40–33,97
Ofsaiduri
45%
24%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,363,05sigur0,53–2,850,26–2,450,79–5,30mai sigur0,23–3,150,00–2,740,20–5,89
Cartonașe galbene
32%
18%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,172,694,86sigur1,12–3,221,57–3,822,68–7,04mai sigur0,85–3,481,27–4,112,13–7,60
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,120,24sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,300,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,440,00–0,87
Parade portar
37%
17%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,853,156,00sigur1,41–4,281,59–4,713,01–8,99mai sigur1,02–4,671,17–5,132,19–9,80
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,42 0,45–2,39 0,20–2,64 | 1,20 0,35–2,06 0,12–2,29 | 2,62 0,80–4,44 0,32–4,92 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,69 2,83–6,55 2,34–7,04 | 4,15 2,41–5,89 1,94–6,36 | 8,84 5,23–12,44 4,28–13,40 | 50% 13% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 13,56 9,64–17,49 8,55–18,58 | 11,98 8,42–15,54 7,46–16,50 | 25,54 18,06–33,03 16,01–35,08 | 58% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,23 5,29–11,17 4,46–12,00 | 7,67 4,99–10,35 4,25–11,09 | 15,90 10,27–21,52 8,71–23,09 | 51% 39% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,35 1,47–5,23 0,92–5,77 | 3,21 1,56–4,87 1,07–5,36 | 6,56 3,03–10,10 1,99–11,13 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Cornere | 5,29 3,08–7,50 2,50–8,08 | 4,12 2,12–6,12 1,58–6,65 | 9,41 5,19–13,62 4,09–14,73 | 59% 29% |
| Posesie % | 57,34 50,55–64,13 48,88–65,80 | 42,90 36,11–49,68 34,44–51,35 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 506 439–573 421–592 | 384 318–450 300–468 | 890 757–1024 721–1060 | 85% 15% |
| Precizie pase % | 83,79 79,76–87,82 78,46–89,11 | 79,74 75,42–84,06 74,11–85,37 | — | 68% 28% |
| Faulturi | 12,32 9,49–15,16 8,73–15,92 | 14,36 11,41–17,30 10,67–18,05 | 26,68 20,90–32,46 19,40–33,97 | 31% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,23–3,15 | 1,36 0,26–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 3,05 0,79–5,30 0,20–5,89 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,17 1,12–3,22 0,85–3,48 | 2,69 1,57–3,82 1,27–4,11 | 4,86 2,68–7,04 2,13–7,60 | 32% 18% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,85 1,41–4,28 1,02–4,67 | 3,15 1,59–4,71 1,17–5,13 | 6,00 3,01–8,99 2,19–9,80 | 37% 17% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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