Süper Lig·Etapa 10·
Süper Lig·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
21%
23%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,051,852,90sigur0,08–2,011,00–2,711,07–4,72mai sigur0,00–2,260,77–2,930,59–5,20
Șuturi pe poartă
20%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,715,739,45sigur1,85–5,583,99–7,475,84–13,05mai sigur1,36–6,073,52–7,944,89–14,01
Total șuturi
19%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2515,1726,42sigur7,32–15,1711,60–18,7318,93–33,90mai sigur6,23–16,2710,64–19,6916,88–35,95
Șuturi din careu
18%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,0310,3817,42sigur4,09–9,987,70–13,0611,79–23,04mai sigur3,26–10,816,96–13,8010,23–24,61
Șuturi blocate
24%
14%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,854,207,05sigur0,97–4,732,55–5,853,51–10,58mai sigur0,42–5,272,06–6,352,48–11,62
Cornere
24%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,985,629,60sigur1,77–6,203,62–7,625,39–13,81mai sigur1,20–6,773,08–8,154,28–14,92
Posesie %
20%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,0956,58sigur36,30–49,8849,79–63,36mai sigur34,63–51,5548,12–65,04
Pase
19%
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție353458811sigur285–420392–525677–945mai sigur267–438374–542642–980
Precizie pase %
18%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,5584,12sigur73,52–81,5879,80–88,45mai sigur72,23–82,8878,49–89,76
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6712,0423,71sigur8,83–14,519,10–14,9917,93–29,49mai sigur8,08–15,268,35–15,7316,42–31,00
Ofsaiduri
53%
19%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,411,724,13sigur1,25–3,570,63–2,821,88–6,39mai sigur0,95–3,870,34–3,101,29–6,98
Cartonașe galbene
42%
19%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,312,214,52sigur1,26–3,361,08–3,342,34–6,70mai sigur0,99–3,620,79–3,631,78–7,25
Cartonașe roșii
15%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,180,100,28sigur0,02–0,340,00–0,280,00–0,63mai sigur0,00–0,490,00–0,420,00–0,91
Parade portar
60%
15%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,822,636,44sigur2,38–5,251,07–4,183,45–9,44mai sigur1,99–5,640,65–4,612,64–10,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,05 0,08–2,01 0,00–2,26 | 1,85 1,00–2,71 0,77–2,93 | 2,90 1,07–4,72 0,59–5,20 | 21% 23% 56% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,71 1,85–5,58 1,36–6,07 | 5,73 3,99–7,47 3,52–7,94 | 9,45 5,84–13,05 4,89–14,01 | 20% 69% |
| Total șuturi | 11,25 7,32–15,17 6,23–16,27 | 15,17 11,60–18,73 10,64–19,69 | 26,42 18,93–33,90 16,88–35,95 | 19% 75% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,03 4,09–9,98 3,26–10,81 | 10,38 7,70–13,06 6,96–13,80 | 17,42 11,79–23,04 10,23–24,61 | 18% 75% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,85 0,97–4,73 0,42–5,27 | 4,20 2,55–5,85 2,06–6,35 | 7,05 3,51–10,58 2,48–11,62 | 24% 14% 62% |
| Cornere | 3,98 1,77–6,20 1,20–6,77 | 5,62 3,62–7,62 3,08–8,15 | 9,60 5,39–13,81 4,28–14,92 | 24% 64% |
| Posesie % | 43,09 36,30–49,88 34,63–51,55 | 56,58 49,79–63,36 48,12–65,04 | — | 20% 77% |
| Pase | 353 285–420 267–438 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 811 677–945 642–980 | 19% 81% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,55 73,52–81,58 72,23–82,88 | 84,12 79,80–88,45 78,49–89,76 | — | 18% 78% |
| Faulturi | 11,67 8,83–14,51 8,08–15,26 | 12,04 9,10–14,99 8,35–15,73 | 23,71 17,93–29,49 16,42–31,00 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,41 1,25–3,57 0,95–3,87 | 1,72 0,63–2,82 0,34–3,10 | 4,13 1,88–6,39 1,29–6,98 | 53% 19% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,31 1,26–3,36 0,99–3,62 | 2,21 1,08–3,34 0,79–3,63 | 4,52 2,34–6,70 1,78–7,25 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,18 0,02–0,34 0,00–0,49 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,28 0,00–0,63 0,00–0,91 | 15% 77% |
| Parade portar | 3,82 2,38–5,25 1,99–5,64 | 2,63 1,07–4,18 0,65–4,61 | 6,44 3,45–9,44 2,64–10,25 | 60% 15% 25% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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