Süper Lig·Etapa 11·
Süper Lig·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
25%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,121,572,68sigur0,15–2,080,71–2,420,86–4,50mai sigur0,00–2,330,48–2,650,38–4,98
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
14%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,454,328,77sigur2,59–6,312,58–6,075,17–12,38mai sigur2,10–6,802,12–6,534,21–13,33
Total șuturi
52%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2712,5825,85sigur9,35–17,209,01–16,1418,36–33,34mai sigur8,26–18,298,05–17,1016,31–35,39
Șuturi din careu
39%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,307,8315,13sigur4,36–10,245,15–10,519,51–20,76mai sigur3,53–11,074,42–11,257,94–22,32
Șuturi blocate
53%
15%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,823,136,94sigur1,93–5,701,48–4,783,41–10,48mai sigur1,39–6,240,98–5,272,37–11,51
Cornere
45%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,694,559,24sigur2,47–6,902,55–6,555,02–13,45mai sigur1,90–7,482,01–7,083,92–14,56
Posesie %
36%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,0651,93sigur40,27–53,8545,14–58,71mai sigur38,60–55,5243,47–60,38
Pase
33%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție362414776sigur295–429348–480642–910mai sigur277–448330–498607–945
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție80,4382,03sigur76,40–84,4677,70–86,35mai sigur75,11–85,7676,39–87,66
Faulturi
37%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7915,0628,86sigur10,95–16,6312,12–18,0123,07–34,64mai sigur10,20–17,3811,37–18,7621,57–36,14
Ofsaiduri
18%
19%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,092,233,32sigur0,00–2,251,13–3,321,07–5,57mai sigur0,00–2,560,85–3,610,48–6,16
Cartonașe galbene
40%
20%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,202,204,40sigur1,15–3,251,07–3,332,22–6,58mai sigur0,89–3,520,78–3,621,66–7,13
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,120,23sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,300,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,430,00–0,86
Parade portar
36%
16%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,823,226,04sigur1,38–4,261,66–4,773,04–9,03mai sigur1,00–4,641,23–5,202,23–9,84
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,12 0,15–2,08 0,00–2,33 | 1,57 0,71–2,42 0,48–2,65 | 2,68 0,86–4,50 0,38–4,98 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,45 2,59–6,31 2,10–6,80 | 4,32 2,58–6,07 2,12–6,53 | 8,77 5,17–12,38 4,21–13,33 | 45% 14% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 13,27 9,35–17,20 8,26–18,29 | 12,58 9,01–16,14 8,05–17,10 | 25,85 18,36–33,34 16,31–35,39 | 52% 41% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,30 4,36–10,24 3,53–11,07 | 7,83 5,15–10,51 4,42–11,25 | 15,13 9,51–20,76 7,94–22,32 | 39% 50% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,82 1,93–5,70 1,39–6,24 | 3,13 1,48–4,78 0,98–5,27 | 6,94 3,41–10,48 2,37–11,51 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Cornere | 4,69 2,47–6,90 1,90–7,48 | 4,55 2,55–6,55 2,01–7,08 | 9,24 5,02–13,45 3,92–14,56 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Posesie % | 47,06 40,27–53,85 38,60–55,52 | 51,93 45,14–58,71 43,47–60,38 | — | 36% 59% |
| Pase | 362 295–429 277–448 | 414 348–480 330–498 | 776 642–910 607–945 | 33% 67% |
| Precizie pase % | 80,43 76,40–84,46 75,11–85,76 | 82,03 77,70–86,35 76,39–87,66 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 13,79 10,95–16,63 10,20–17,38 | 15,06 12,12–18,01 11,37–18,76 | 28,86 23,07–34,64 21,57–36,14 | 37% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,09 0,00–2,25 0,00–2,56 | 2,23 1,13–3,32 0,85–3,61 | 3,32 1,07–5,57 0,48–6,16 | 18% 19% 63% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,20 1,15–3,25 0,89–3,52 | 2,20 1,07–3,33 0,78–3,62 | 4,40 2,22–6,58 1,66–7,13 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,82 1,38–4,26 1,00–4,64 | 3,22 1,66–4,77 1,23–5,20 | 6,04 3,04–9,03 2,23–9,84 | 36% 16% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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