Süper Lig·Etapa 11·
Süper Lig·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
24%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,602,97sigur0,41–2,340,74–2,451,15–4,80mai sigur0,16–2,600,51–2,680,67–5,28
Șuturi pe poartă
38%
13%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,354,759,10sigur2,48–6,213,01–6,495,49–12,70mai sigur1,99–6,702,54–6,964,53–13,66
Total șuturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3713,9526,32sigur8,45–16,3010,38–17,5118,83–33,80mai sigur7,35–17,399,42–18,4716,78–35,85
Șuturi din careu
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,978,3717,34sigur6,03–11,915,69–11,0511,71–22,96mai sigur5,20–12,744,95–11,7910,15–24,53
Șuturi blocate
34%
15%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,333,907,23sigur1,44–5,212,25–5,553,69–10,76mai sigur0,90–5,751,75–6,042,65–11,80
Cornere
42%
13%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,694,819,50sigur2,47–6,902,81–6,815,29–13,72mai sigur1,90–7,482,28–7,354,18–14,82
Posesie %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție37,9261,35sigur31,13–44,7154,56–68,13mai sigur29,46–46,3852,89–69,80
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție297467764sigur230–364401–534631–898mai sigur212–382383–551595–934
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,8781,34sigur67,84–75,9077,01–85,66mai sigur66,55–77,1975,70–86,97
Faulturi
66%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8711,2625,13sigur11,04–16,718,31–14,2019,35–30,91mai sigur10,28–17,477,56–14,9517,84–32,42
Ofsaiduri
66%
16%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,931,534,46sigur1,77–4,090,43–2,622,20–6,71mai sigur1,47–4,390,15–2,911,61–7,30
Cartonașe galbene
44%
20%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,201,984,18sigur1,15–3,240,85–3,112,00–6,35mai sigur0,88–3,510,56–3,401,44–6,91
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,100,23sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,290,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,420,00–0,86
Parade portar
38%
17%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,813,015,82sigur1,37–4,251,46–4,572,83–8,82mai sigur0,99–4,631,03–4,992,02–9,63
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,41–2,34 0,16–2,60 | 1,60 0,74–2,45 0,51–2,68 | 2,97 1,15–4,80 0,67–5,28 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,35 2,48–6,21 1,99–6,70 | 4,75 3,01–6,49 2,54–6,96 | 9,10 5,49–12,70 4,53–13,66 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total șuturi | 12,37 8,45–16,30 7,35–17,39 | 13,95 10,38–17,51 9,42–18,47 | 26,32 18,83–33,80 16,78–35,85 | 34% 58% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,97 6,03–11,91 5,20–12,74 | 8,37 5,69–11,05 4,95–11,79 | 17,34 11,71–22,96 10,15–24,53 | 51% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,33 1,44–5,21 0,90–5,75 | 3,90 2,25–5,55 1,75–6,04 | 7,23 3,69–10,76 2,65–11,80 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Cornere | 4,69 2,47–6,90 1,90–7,48 | 4,81 2,81–6,81 2,28–7,35 | 9,50 5,29–13,72 4,18–14,82 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Posesie % | 37,92 31,13–44,71 29,46–46,38 | 61,35 54,56–68,13 52,89–69,80 | — | 91% |
| Pase | 297 230–364 212–382 | 467 401–534 383–551 | 764 631–898 595–934 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,87 67,84–75,90 66,55–77,19 | 81,34 77,01–85,66 75,70–86,97 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 13,87 11,04–16,71 10,28–17,47 | 11,26 8,31–14,20 7,56–14,95 | 25,13 19,35–30,91 17,84–32,42 | 66% 27% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,93 1,77–4,09 1,47–4,39 | 1,53 0,43–2,62 0,15–2,91 | 4,46 2,20–6,71 1,61–7,30 | 66% 16% 18% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,20 1,15–3,24 0,88–3,51 | 1,98 0,85–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 4,18 2,00–6,35 1,44–6,91 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,23 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,81 1,37–4,25 0,99–4,63 | 3,01 1,46–4,57 1,03–4,99 | 5,82 2,83–8,82 2,02–9,63 | 38% 17% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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