Süper Lig·Etapa 12·
Süper Lig·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,400,753,14sigur1,43–3,360,00–1,601,32–4,97mai sigur1,18–3,620,00–1,830,84–5,45
Șuturi pe poartă
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,593,299,88sigur4,73–8,451,54–5,036,27–13,48mai sigur4,24–8,941,08–5,505,32–14,44
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,868,9925,85sigur12,93–20,785,43–12,5518,36–33,34mai sigur11,84–21,874,47–13,5116,31–35,39
Șuturi din careu
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,524,9016,41sigur8,57–14,462,21–7,5810,79–22,04mai sigur7,75–15,291,48–8,319,22–23,60
Șuturi blocate
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,201,866,06sigur2,32–6,080,20–3,512,52–9,59mai sigur1,77–6,620,00–4,001,48–10,63
Cornere
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,683,029,70sigur4,46–8,891,02–5,025,49–13,91mai sigur3,89–9,460,49–5,564,38–15,02
Posesie %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,4438,56sigur55,65–69,2331,77–45,34mai sigur53,98–70,9030,10–47,02
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție523326849sigur456–591259–392715–983mai sigur438–609242–410680–1018
Precizie pase %
81%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție85,6978,42sigur81,66–89,7274,10–82,75mai sigur80,37–91,0172,79–84,06
Faulturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9912,9626,95sigur11,15–16,8310,01–15,9021,16–32,73mai sigur10,40–17,589,26–16,6519,66–34,23
Ofsaiduri
57%
19%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,491,614,10sigur1,33–3,650,52–2,711,84–6,35mai sigur1,02–3,950,23–2,991,26–6,94
Cartonașe galbene
30%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,612,113,71sigur0,56–2,660,98–3,241,54–5,89mai sigur0,29–2,920,69–3,530,98–6,45
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,130,22sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,320,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,450,00–0,85
Parade portar
20%
13%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,363,986,33sigur0,92–3,792,42–5,543,34–9,33mai sigur0,53–4,182,00–5,962,53–10,14
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,40 1,43–3,36 1,18–3,62 | 0,75 0,00–1,60 0,00–1,83 | 3,14 1,32–4,97 0,84–5,45 | 74% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,59 4,73–8,45 4,24–8,94 | 3,29 1,54–5,03 1,08–5,50 | 9,88 6,27–13,48 5,32–14,44 | 82% |
| Total șuturi | 16,86 12,93–20,78 11,84–21,87 | 8,99 5,43–12,55 4,47–13,51 | 25,85 18,36–33,34 16,31–35,39 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,52 8,57–14,46 7,75–15,29 | 4,90 2,21–7,58 1,48–8,31 | 16,41 10,79–22,04 9,22–23,60 | 94% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,20 2,32–6,08 1,77–6,62 | 1,86 0,20–3,51 0,00–4,00 | 6,06 2,52–9,59 1,48–10,63 | 77% |
| Cornere | 6,68 4,46–8,89 3,89–9,46 | 3,02 1,02–5,02 0,49–5,56 | 9,70 5,49–13,91 4,38–15,02 | 85% |
| Posesie % | 62,44 55,65–69,23 53,98–70,90 | 38,56 31,77–45,34 30,10–47,02 | — | 91% |
| Pase | 523 456–591 438–609 | 326 259–392 242–410 | 849 715–983 680–1018 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 85,69 81,66–89,72 80,37–91,01 | 78,42 74,10–82,75 72,79–84,06 | — | 81% 16% |
| Faulturi | 13,99 11,15–16,83 10,40–17,58 | 12,96 10,01–15,90 9,26–16,65 | 26,95 21,16–32,73 19,66–34,23 | 54% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,49 1,33–3,65 1,02–3,95 | 1,61 0,52–2,71 0,23–2,99 | 4,10 1,84–6,35 1,26–6,94 | 57% 19% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,61 0,56–2,66 0,29–2,92 | 2,11 0,98–3,24 0,69–3,53 | 3,71 1,54–5,89 0,98–6,45 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,36 0,92–3,79 0,53–4,18 | 3,98 2,42–5,54 2,00–5,96 | 6,33 3,34–9,33 2,53–10,14 | 20% 13% 67% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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