Süper Lig·Etapa 14·
Süper Lig·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
25%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,292,86sigur0,60–2,540,44–2,151,04–4,68mai sigur0,35–2,790,21–2,370,56–5,16
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
13%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,884,399,27sigur3,02–6,742,65–6,135,67–12,88mai sigur2,53–7,232,18–6,604,71–13,83
Total șuturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5811,9925,57sigur9,65–17,508,43–15,5518,08–33,06mai sigur8,56–18,607,47–16,5116,03–35,11
Șuturi din careu
59%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,557,1815,73sigur5,61–11,504,50–9,8610,11–21,35mai sigur4,78–12,323,76–10,608,54–22,92
Șuturi blocate
52%
16%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,372,756,13sigur1,49–5,251,10–4,412,59–9,66mai sigur0,95–5,800,61–4,901,56–10,70
Cornere
55%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,074,169,23sigur2,86–7,292,16–6,165,02–13,44mai sigur2,29–7,861,62–6,693,91–14,55
Posesie %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,1150,56sigur42,32–55,9043,77–57,34mai sigur40,65–57,5742,10–59,01
Pase
39%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție407440847sigur340–475373–506714–981mai sigur322–493356–524678–1017
Precizie pase %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție80,8383,24sigur76,80–84,8678,91–87,56mai sigur75,51–86,1577,60–88,87
Faulturi
20%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8014,5725,37sigur7,96–13,6411,63–17,5219,59–31,16mai sigur7,21–14,3910,88–18,2618,09–32,66
Ofsaiduri
38%
21%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,933,78sigur0,70–3,020,83–3,021,53–6,04mai sigur0,40–3,320,54–3,310,94–6,63
Cartonașe galbene
34%
19%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,132,534,66sigur1,08–3,181,40–3,652,48–6,83mai sigur0,81–3,451,11–3,951,92–7,39
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,150,23sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,330,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,470,00–0,86
Parade portar
38%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,003,226,22sigur1,56–4,431,66–4,773,22–9,21mai sigur1,17–4,821,24–5,202,41–10,02
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,57 0,60–2,54 0,35–2,79 | 1,29 0,44–2,15 0,21–2,37 | 2,86 1,04–4,68 0,56–5,16 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,88 3,02–6,74 2,53–7,23 | 4,39 2,65–6,13 2,18–6,60 | 9,27 5,67–12,88 4,71–13,83 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total șuturi | 13,58 9,65–17,50 8,56–18,60 | 11,99 8,43–15,55 7,47–16,51 | 25,57 18,08–33,06 16,03–35,11 | 58% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,55 5,61–11,50 4,78–12,32 | 7,18 4,50–9,86 3,76–10,60 | 15,73 10,11–21,35 8,54–22,92 | 59% 32% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,37 1,49–5,25 0,95–5,80 | 2,75 1,10–4,41 0,61–4,90 | 6,13 2,59–9,66 1,56–10,70 | 52% 16% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,07 2,86–7,29 2,29–7,86 | 4,16 2,16–6,16 1,62–6,69 | 9,23 5,02–13,44 3,91–14,55 | 55% 32% |
| Posesie % | 49,11 42,32–55,90 40,65–57,57 | 50,56 43,77–57,34 42,10–59,01 | — | 44% 51% |
| Pase | 407 340–475 322–493 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 847 714–981 678–1017 | 39% 60% |
| Precizie pase % | 80,83 76,80–84,86 75,51–86,15 | 83,24 78,91–87,56 77,60–88,87 | — | 35% 60% |
| Faulturi | 10,80 7,96–13,64 7,21–14,39 | 14,57 11,63–17,52 10,88–18,26 | 25,37 19,59–31,16 18,09–32,66 | 20% 74% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,86 0,70–3,02 0,40–3,32 | 1,93 0,83–3,02 0,54–3,31 | 3,78 1,53–6,04 0,94–6,63 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,13 1,08–3,18 0,81–3,45 | 2,53 1,40–3,65 1,11–3,95 | 4,66 2,48–6,83 1,92–7,39 | 34% 19% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,15 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,47 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,00 1,56–4,43 1,17–4,82 | 3,22 1,66–4,77 1,24–5,20 | 6,22 3,22–9,21 2,41–10,02 | 38% 16% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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