Süper Lig·Etapa 15·
Süper Lig·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
64%
20%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,100,923,02sigur1,13–3,070,07–1,771,20–4,84mai sigur0,88–3,320,00–2,000,72–5,32
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,863,659,50sigur3,99–7,721,90–5,395,90–13,11mai sigur3,50–8,211,44–5,864,94–14,06
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,3510,3426,69sigur12,43–20,286,77–13,9019,20–34,18mai sigur11,33–21,375,82–14,8617,15–36,23
Șuturi din careu
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,466,2117,68sigur8,52–14,413,53–8,8912,05–23,30mai sigur7,69–15,242,79–9,6310,49–24,87
Șuturi blocate
59%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,902,816,71sigur2,02–5,791,16–4,463,18–10,25mai sigur1,48–6,330,66–4,962,14–11,29
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,953,729,67sigur3,74–8,161,72–5,725,46–13,88mai sigur3,16–8,741,19–6,254,35–14,99
Posesie %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,1145,67sigur48,32–61,9038,88–52,45mai sigur46,65–63,5737,21–54,12
Pase
75%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție466386852sigur399–534320–452719–986mai sigur381–552302–470683–1022
Precizie pase %
61%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție78,7776,07sigur74,74–82,8071,74–80,39mai sigur73,44–84,0970,43–81,70
Faulturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7613,2926,05sigur9,92–15,6010,35–16,2320,27–31,83mai sigur9,17–16,359,60–16,9818,76–33,34
Ofsaiduri
55%
20%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,321,543,86sigur1,16–3,480,44–2,631,60–6,11mai sigur0,86–3,780,15–2,921,01–6,70
Cartonașe galbene
28%
19%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,842,524,37sigur0,80–2,891,39–3,652,19–6,55mai sigur0,53–3,161,10–3,941,63–7,10
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,150,25sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,340,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,470,00–0,88
Parade portar
26%
15%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,513,606,11sigur1,08–3,952,04–5,163,12–9,11mai sigur0,69–4,341,62–5,582,31–9,92
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,10 1,13–3,07 0,88–3,32 | 0,92 0,07–1,77 0,00–2,00 | 3,02 1,20–4,84 0,72–5,32 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,86 3,99–7,72 3,50–8,21 | 3,65 1,90–5,39 1,44–5,86 | 9,50 5,90–13,11 4,94–14,06 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 16,35 12,43–20,28 11,33–21,37 | 10,34 6,77–13,90 5,82–14,86 | 26,69 19,20–34,18 17,15–36,23 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,46 8,52–14,41 7,69–15,24 | 6,21 3,53–8,89 2,79–9,63 | 17,68 12,05–23,30 10,49–24,87 | 87% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,90 2,02–5,79 1,48–6,33 | 2,81 1,16–4,46 0,66–4,96 | 6,71 3,18–10,25 2,14–11,29 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Cornere | 5,95 3,74–8,16 3,16–8,74 | 3,72 1,72–5,72 1,19–6,25 | 9,67 5,46–13,88 4,35–14,99 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 55,11 48,32–61,90 46,65–63,57 | 45,67 38,88–52,45 37,21–54,12 | — | 69% 27% |
| Pase | 466 399–534 381–552 | 386 320–452 302–470 | 852 719–986 683–1022 | 75% 25% |
| Precizie pase % | 78,77 74,74–82,80 73,44–84,09 | 76,07 71,74–80,39 70,43–81,70 | — | 61% 34% |
| Faulturi | 12,76 9,92–15,60 9,17–16,35 | 13,29 10,35–16,23 9,60–16,98 | 26,05 20,27–31,83 18,76–33,34 | 42% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,32 1,16–3,48 0,86–3,78 | 1,54 0,44–2,63 0,15–2,92 | 3,86 1,60–6,11 1,01–6,70 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,84 0,80–2,89 0,53–3,16 | 2,52 1,39–3,65 1,10–3,94 | 4,37 2,19–6,55 1,63–7,10 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,25 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 2,51 1,08–3,95 0,69–4,34 | 3,60 2,04–5,16 1,62–5,58 | 6,11 3,12–9,11 2,31–9,92 | 26% 15% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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