Süper Lig·Etapa 16·
Süper Lig·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
25%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,630,982,60sigur0,66–2,590,12–1,830,78–4,43mai sigur0,41–2,850,00–2,060,30–4,91
Șuturi pe poartă
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,153,278,41sigur3,28–7,011,52–5,014,81–12,02mai sigur2,79–7,501,06–5,473,85–12,97
Total șuturi
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,639,9025,52sigur11,70–19,556,33–13,4618,04–33,01mai sigur10,61–20,645,37–14,4215,98–35,06
Șuturi din careu
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,086,0316,11sigur7,14–13,023,35–8,7210,49–21,74mai sigur6,31–13,852,62–9,458,92–23,30
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,292,576,86sigur2,40–6,170,92–4,233,32–10,40mai sigur1,86–6,710,43–4,722,29–11,43
Cornere
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,693,859,54sigur3,48–7,911,85–5,855,33–13,76mai sigur2,91–8,481,32–6,384,22–14,86
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,3040,54sigur52,51–66,0933,75–47,32mai sigur50,84–67,7632,08–48,99
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție534363897sigur466–601297–430763–1031mai sigur448–619279–447728–1066
Precizie pase %
78%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție86,1979,82sigur82,17–90,2275,49–84,14mai sigur80,87–91,5274,18–85,45
Faulturi
58%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9213,3228,25sigur12,09–17,7610,38–16,2722,46–34,03mai sigur11,33–18,529,63–17,0120,96–35,53
Ofsaiduri
45%
25%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,242,81sigur0,40–2,720,15–2,340,55–5,06mai sigur0,10–3,020,00–2,620,00–5,65
Cartonașe galbene
31%
20%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,882,374,25sigur0,83–2,931,24–3,502,07–6,43mai sigur0,57–3,200,95–3,791,52–6,99
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,120,23sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,300,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,440,00–0,86
Parade portar
26%
16%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,343,375,71sigur0,91–3,781,81–4,922,72–8,70mai sigur0,52–4,171,39–5,351,90–9,51
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,59 0,41–2,85 | 0,98 0,12–1,83 0,00–2,06 | 2,60 0,78–4,43 0,30–4,91 | 53% 25% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,15 3,28–7,01 2,79–7,50 | 3,27 1,52–5,01 1,06–5,47 | 8,41 4,81–12,02 3,85–12,97 | 68% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 15,63 11,70–19,55 10,61–20,64 | 9,90 6,33–13,46 5,37–14,42 | 25,52 18,04–33,01 15,98–35,06 | 85% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,08 7,14–13,02 6,31–13,85 | 6,03 3,35–8,72 2,62–9,45 | 16,11 10,49–21,74 8,92–23,30 | 81% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,29 2,40–6,17 1,86–6,71 | 2,57 0,92–4,23 0,43–4,72 | 6,86 3,32–10,40 2,29–11,43 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 5,69 3,48–7,91 2,91–8,48 | 3,85 1,85–5,85 1,32–6,38 | 9,54 5,33–13,76 4,22–14,86 | 67% 22% |
| Posesie % | 59,30 52,51–66,09 50,84–67,76 | 40,54 33,75–47,32 32,08–48,99 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 534 466–601 448–619 | 363 297–430 279–447 | 897 763–1031 728–1066 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 86,19 82,17–90,22 80,87–91,52 | 79,82 75,49–84,14 74,18–85,45 | — | 78% 19% |
| Faulturi | 14,92 12,09–17,76 11,33–18,52 | 13,32 10,38–16,27 9,63–17,01 | 28,25 22,46–34,03 20,96–35,53 | 58% 35% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,72 0,10–3,02 | 1,24 0,15–2,34 0,00–2,62 | 2,81 0,55–5,06 0,00–5,65 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,88 0,83–2,93 0,57–3,20 | 2,37 1,24–3,50 0,95–3,79 | 4,25 2,07–6,43 1,52–6,99 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,34 0,91–3,78 0,52–4,17 | 3,37 1,81–4,92 1,39–5,35 | 5,71 2,72–8,70 1,90–9,51 | 26% 16% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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