Süper Lig·Etapa 17·
Süper Lig·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
25%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,061,632,69sigur0,09–2,030,78–2,490,87–4,51mai sigur0,00–2,280,55–2,720,39–4,99
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
13%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,934,648,57sigur2,07–5,792,90–6,384,96–12,17mai sigur1,58–6,282,43–6,854,01–13,13
Total șuturi
32%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9713,8625,83sigur8,05–15,9010,30–17,4218,35–33,32mai sigur6,96–16,999,34–18,3816,29–35,37
Șuturi din careu
21%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,288,9715,25sigur3,34–9,226,29–11,659,63–20,87mai sigur2,51–10,055,55–12,398,06–22,44
Șuturi blocate
38%
16%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,213,456,66sigur1,33–5,091,80–5,103,13–10,20mai sigur0,78–5,631,31–5,602,09–11,23
Cornere
29%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,175,339,50sigur1,96–6,383,33–7,335,29–13,72mai sigur1,38–6,962,80–7,874,18–14,82
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție40,5658,87sigur33,77–47,3552,08–65,65mai sigur32,10–49,0250,41–67,32
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție342498840sigur274–409432–565706–974mai sigur256–427414–582671–1009
Precizie pase %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție79,4385,47sigur75,40–83,4681,15–89,80mai sigur74,11–84,7579,84–91,10
Faulturi
35%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4314,9428,37sigur10,59–16,2612,00–17,8922,59–34,15mai sigur9,83–17,0211,25–18,6321,08–35,65
Ofsaiduri
16%
18%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,132,453,58sigur0,00–2,291,36–3,541,32–5,83mai sigur0,00–2,591,07–3,830,74–6,42
Cartonașe galbene
41%
21%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,051,964,01sigur1,00–3,100,83–3,091,83–6,19mai sigur0,73–3,360,54–3,381,27–6,74
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,110,24sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,290,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,430,00–0,87
Parade portar
47%
17%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,092,745,83sigur1,66–4,531,18–4,302,84–8,82mai sigur1,27–4,920,76–4,722,03–9,64
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,06 0,09–2,03 0,00–2,28 | 1,63 0,78–2,49 0,55–2,72 | 2,69 0,87–4,51 0,39–4,99 | 25% 25% 51% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,93 2,07–5,79 1,58–6,28 | 4,64 2,90–6,38 2,43–6,85 | 8,57 4,96–12,17 4,01–13,13 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 11,97 8,05–15,90 6,96–16,99 | 13,86 10,30–17,42 9,34–18,38 | 25,83 18,35–33,32 16,29–35,37 | 32% 61% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,28 3,34–9,22 2,51–10,05 | 8,97 6,29–11,65 5,55–12,39 | 15,25 9,63–20,87 8,06–22,44 | 21% 71% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,21 1,33–5,09 0,78–5,63 | 3,45 1,80–5,10 1,31–5,60 | 6,66 3,13–10,20 2,09–11,23 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Cornere | 4,17 1,96–6,38 1,38–6,96 | 5,33 3,33–7,33 2,80–7,87 | 9,50 5,29–13,72 4,18–14,82 | 29% 58% |
| Posesie % | 40,56 33,77–47,35 32,10–49,02 | 58,87 52,08–65,65 50,41–67,32 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 342 274–409 256–427 | 498 432–565 414–582 | 840 706–974 671–1009 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 79,43 75,40–83,46 74,11–84,75 | 85,47 81,15–89,80 79,84–91,10 | — | 20% 76% |
| Faulturi | 13,43 10,59–16,26 9,83–17,02 | 14,94 12,00–17,89 11,25–18,63 | 28,37 22,59–34,15 21,08–35,65 | 35% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,13 0,00–2,29 0,00–2,59 | 2,45 1,36–3,54 1,07–3,83 | 3,58 1,32–5,83 0,74–6,42 | 16% 18% 66% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,05 1,00–3,10 0,73–3,36 | 1,96 0,83–3,09 0,54–3,38 | 4,01 1,83–6,19 1,27–6,74 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,09 1,66–4,53 1,27–4,92 | 2,74 1,18–4,30 0,76–4,72 | 5,83 2,84–8,82 2,03–9,64 | 47% 17% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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