Süper Lig·Etapa 18·
Süper Lig·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
25%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,131,592,72sigur0,16–2,100,73–2,440,90–4,54mai sigur0,00–2,350,51–2,670,42–5,02
Șuturi pe poartă
32%
13%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,944,818,75sigur2,08–5,813,07–6,555,15–12,36mai sigur1,59–6,292,60–7,024,19–13,32
Total șuturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2113,6225,84sigur8,29–16,1410,06–17,1918,35–33,33mai sigur7,20–17,239,10–18,1516,30–35,38
Șuturi din careu
39%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,558,2015,75sigur4,61–10,495,52–10,8810,13–21,37mai sigur3,78–11,324,78–11,628,56–22,94
Șuturi blocate
34%
15%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,113,706,80sigur1,22–4,992,05–5,353,27–10,34mai sigur0,68–5,531,55–5,842,23–11,37
Cornere
39%
13%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,394,689,07sigur2,17–6,602,68–6,684,85–13,28mai sigur1,60–7,172,15–7,223,75–14,39
Posesie %
24%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,9255,03sigur37,13–50,7148,25–61,82mai sigur35,46–52,3846,58–63,49
Pase
24%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție391474865sigur324–459408–541732–999mai sigur306–477390–558696–1035
Precizie pase %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție80,8384,88sigur76,80–84,8680,56–89,20mai sigur75,51–86,1679,25–90,51
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4412,7325,17sigur9,61–15,289,79–15,6819,39–30,96mai sigur8,85–16,049,04–16,4317,89–32,46
Ofsaiduri
67%
17%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,651,273,92sigur1,48–3,810,18–2,371,67–6,17mai sigur1,18–4,110,00–2,661,08–6,76
Cartonașe galbene
40%
20%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,052,024,07sigur1,01–3,100,89–3,151,89–6,25mai sigur0,74–3,370,60–3,441,34–6,81
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,110,23sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,300,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,430,00–0,86
Parade portar
47%
17%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,182,846,02sigur1,74–4,611,28–4,403,02–9,01mai sigur1,35–5,000,86–4,822,21–9,82
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,13 0,16–2,10 0,00–2,35 | 1,59 0,73–2,44 0,51–2,67 | 2,72 0,90–4,54 0,42–5,02 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,94 2,08–5,81 1,59–6,29 | 4,81 3,07–6,55 2,60–7,02 | 8,75 5,15–12,36 4,19–13,32 | 32% 13% 55% |
| Total șuturi | 12,21 8,29–16,14 7,20–17,23 | 13,62 10,06–17,19 9,10–18,15 | 25,84 18,35–33,33 16,30–35,38 | 35% 57% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,55 4,61–10,49 3,78–11,32 | 8,20 5,52–10,88 4,78–11,62 | 15,75 10,13–21,37 8,56–22,94 | 39% 51% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,11 1,22–4,99 0,68–5,53 | 3,70 2,05–5,35 1,55–5,84 | 6,80 3,27–10,34 2,23–11,37 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Cornere | 4,39 2,17–6,60 1,60–7,17 | 4,68 2,68–6,68 2,15–7,22 | 9,07 4,85–13,28 3,75–14,39 | 39% 13% 47% |
| Posesie % | 43,92 37,13–50,71 35,46–52,38 | 55,03 48,25–61,82 46,58–63,49 | — | 24% 73% |
| Pase | 391 324–459 306–477 | 474 408–541 390–558 | 865 732–999 696–1035 | 24% 75% |
| Precizie pase % | 80,83 76,80–84,86 75,51–86,16 | 84,88 80,56–89,20 79,25–90,51 | — | 28% 68% |
| Faulturi | 12,44 9,61–15,28 8,85–16,04 | 12,73 9,79–15,68 9,04–16,43 | 25,17 19,39–30,96 17,89–32,46 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,65 1,48–3,81 1,18–4,11 | 1,27 0,18–2,37 0,00–2,66 | 3,92 1,67–6,17 1,08–6,76 | 67% 17% 16% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,05 1,01–3,10 0,74–3,37 | 2,02 0,89–3,15 0,60–3,44 | 4,07 1,89–6,25 1,34–6,81 | 40% 20% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,18 1,74–4,61 1,35–5,00 | 2,84 1,28–4,40 0,86–4,82 | 6,02 3,02–9,01 2,21–9,82 | 47% 17% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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