Süper Lig·Etapa 18·
Süper Lig·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
24%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,700,952,65sigur0,73–2,670,10–1,800,83–4,48mai sigur0,48–2,920,00–2,030,35–4,95
Șuturi pe poartă
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,383,588,96sigur3,52–7,241,84–5,325,36–12,57mai sigur3,03–7,731,37–5,794,40–13,52
Total șuturi
79%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2410,6425,88sigur11,31–19,167,08–14,2118,39–33,37mai sigur10,22–20,266,12–15,1616,34–35,42
Șuturi din careu
76%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,416,1215,54sigur6,47–12,353,44–8,809,91–21,16mai sigur5,64–13,182,71–9,548,35–22,73
Șuturi blocate
64%
14%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,972,526,50sigur2,09–5,850,87–4,182,96–10,03mai sigur1,55–6,400,38–4,671,93–11,07
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,063,819,87sigur3,85–8,281,81–5,815,66–14,08mai sigur3,27–8,851,27–6,344,55–15,19
Posesie %
84%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,7441,23sigur51,95–65,5334,44–48,01mai sigur50,28–67,2032,77–49,68
Pase
85%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție477353830sigur410–544287–420697–964mai sigur392–562269–437661–1000
Precizie pase %
74%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție82,7477,28sigur78,71–86,7772,96–81,61mai sigur77,42–88,0671,65–82,91
Faulturi
27%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0114,6226,64sigur9,18–14,8511,68–17,5720,85–32,42mai sigur8,42–15,6110,93–18,3219,35–33,92
Ofsaiduri
39%
21%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,923,82sigur0,74–3,060,83–3,021,57–6,07mai sigur0,44–3,360,54–3,300,98–6,66
Cartonașe galbene
33%
18%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,242,664,90sigur1,19–3,291,53–3,792,72–7,08mai sigur0,92–3,551,24–4,082,16–7,63
Cartonașe roșii
78%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,160,26sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,350,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,480,00–0,89
Parade portar
26%
16%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,443,465,90sigur1,00–3,871,90–5,022,90–8,89mai sigur0,61–4,261,48–5,442,09–9,70
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,70 0,73–2,67 0,48–2,92 | 0,95 0,10–1,80 0,00–2,03 | 2,65 0,83–4,48 0,35–4,95 | 55% 24% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,38 3,52–7,24 3,03–7,73 | 3,58 1,84–5,32 1,37–5,79 | 8,96 5,36–12,57 4,40–13,52 | 67% 22% |
| Total șuturi | 15,24 11,31–19,16 10,22–20,26 | 10,64 7,08–14,21 6,12–15,16 | 25,88 18,39–33,37 16,34–35,42 | 79% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,41 6,47–12,35 5,64–13,18 | 6,12 3,44–8,80 2,71–9,54 | 15,54 9,91–21,16 8,35–22,73 | 76% 17% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,97 2,09–5,85 1,55–6,40 | 2,52 0,87–4,18 0,38–4,67 | 6,50 2,96–10,03 1,93–11,07 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Cornere | 6,06 3,85–8,28 3,27–8,85 | 3,81 1,81–5,81 1,27–6,34 | 9,87 5,66–14,08 4,55–15,19 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 58,74 51,95–65,53 50,28–67,20 | 41,23 34,44–48,01 32,77–49,68 | — | 84% 14% |
| Pase | 477 410–544 392–562 | 353 287–420 269–437 | 830 697–964 661–1000 | 85% 15% |
| Precizie pase % | 82,74 78,71–86,77 77,42–88,06 | 77,28 72,96–81,61 71,65–82,91 | — | 74% 22% |
| Faulturi | 12,01 9,18–14,85 8,42–15,61 | 14,62 11,68–17,57 10,93–18,32 | 26,64 20,85–32,42 19,35–33,92 | 27% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,36 | 1,92 0,83–3,02 0,54–3,30 | 3,82 1,57–6,07 0,98–6,66 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,24 1,19–3,29 0,92–3,55 | 2,66 1,53–3,79 1,24–4,08 | 4,90 2,72–7,08 2,16–7,63 | 33% 18% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,35 0,00–0,48 | 0,26 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,89 | 78% 13% |
| Parade portar | 2,44 1,00–3,87 0,61–4,26 | 3,46 1,90–5,02 1,48–5,44 | 5,90 2,90–8,89 2,09–9,70 | 26% 16% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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