Süper Lig·Etapa 19·
Süper Lig·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
26%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,002,54sigur0,57–2,500,15–1,860,71–4,36mai sigur0,31–2,750,00–2,090,23–4,84
Șuturi pe poartă
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,453,418,86sigur3,58–7,311,67–5,155,25–12,46mai sigur3,09–7,801,20–5,624,30–13,42
Total șuturi
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,069,7925,85sigur12,14–19,996,23–13,3518,37–33,34mai sigur11,05–21,085,27–14,3116,32–35,39
Șuturi din careu
80%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,956,1416,09sigur7,01–12,893,46–8,8210,47–21,71mai sigur6,18–13,722,72–9,568,90–23,28
Șuturi blocate
70%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,132,306,42sigur2,24–6,010,64–3,952,89–9,96mai sigur1,70–6,550,15–4,441,85–10,99
Cornere
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,573,859,42sigur3,36–7,781,85–5,855,21–13,63mai sigur2,78–8,361,32–6,384,10–14,74
Posesie %
59%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,2047,32sigur45,41–58,9940,53–54,10mai sigur43,74–60,6638,86–55,78
Pase
66%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție439390829sigur372–506324–457695–963mai sigur354–524306–474660–998
Precizie pase %
65%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție82,4778,96sigur78,44–86,5074,64–83,29mai sigur77,15–87,8073,33–84,59
Faulturi
60%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4912,6327,12sigur11,65–17,339,68–15,5721,34–32,90mai sigur10,90–18,088,93–16,3219,83–34,40
Ofsaiduri
35%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,492,89sigur0,23–2,550,40–2,590,63–5,14mai sigur0,00–2,850,11–2,870,04–5,73
Cartonașe galbene
37%
19%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,322,554,87sigur1,27–3,371,42–3,682,69–7,04mai sigur1,00–3,631,13–3,972,13–7,60
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,120,25sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,310,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,440,00–0,88
Parade portar
22%
15%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,283,605,88sigur0,85–3,722,04–5,152,89–8,87mai sigur0,46–4,111,62–5,582,08–9,69
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,53 0,57–2,50 0,31–2,75 | 1,00 0,15–1,86 0,00–2,09 | 2,54 0,71–4,36 0,23–4,84 | 50% 26% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,45 3,58–7,31 3,09–7,80 | 3,41 1,67–5,15 1,20–5,62 | 8,86 5,25–12,46 4,30–13,42 | 70% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 16,06 12,14–19,99 11,05–21,08 | 9,79 6,23–13,35 5,27–14,31 | 25,85 18,37–33,34 16,32–35,39 | 87% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,95 7,01–12,89 6,18–13,72 | 6,14 3,46–8,82 2,72–9,56 | 16,09 10,47–21,71 8,90–23,28 | 80% 14% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,13 2,24–6,01 1,70–6,55 | 2,30 0,64–3,95 0,15–4,44 | 6,42 2,89–9,96 1,85–10,99 | 70% 17% |
| Cornere | 5,57 3,36–7,78 2,78–8,36 | 3,85 1,85–5,85 1,32–6,38 | 9,42 5,21–13,63 4,10–14,74 | 65% 23% |
| Posesie % | 52,20 45,41–58,99 43,74–60,66 | 47,32 40,53–54,10 38,86–55,78 | — | 59% 36% |
| Pase | 439 372–506 354–524 | 390 324–457 306–474 | 829 695–963 660–998 | 66% 34% |
| Precizie pase % | 82,47 78,44–86,50 77,15–87,80 | 78,96 74,64–83,29 73,33–84,59 | — | 65% 30% |
| Faulturi | 14,49 11,65–17,33 10,90–18,08 | 12,63 9,68–15,57 8,93–16,32 | 27,12 21,34–32,90 19,83–34,40 | 60% 32% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,39 0,23–2,55 0,00–2,85 | 1,49 0,40–2,59 0,11–2,87 | 2,89 0,63–5,14 0,04–5,73 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,32 1,27–3,37 1,00–3,63 | 2,55 1,42–3,68 1,13–3,97 | 4,87 2,69–7,04 2,13–7,60 | 37% 19% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,25 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 2,28 0,85–3,72 0,46–4,11 | 3,60 2,04–5,15 1,62–5,58 | 5,88 2,89–8,87 2,08–9,69 | 22% 15% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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