Süper Lig·Etapa 20·
Süper Lig·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
24%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,012,70sigur0,73–2,660,15–1,860,88–4,52mai sigur0,47–2,910,00–2,090,40–5,00
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,233,628,85sigur3,37–7,091,88–5,365,25–12,46mai sigur2,88–7,581,41–5,834,29–13,41
Total șuturi
78%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,6011,0926,70sigur11,68–19,537,53–14,6619,21–34,18mai sigur10,59–20,626,57–15,6217,16–36,23
Șuturi din careu
73%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,816,8216,63sigur6,87–12,754,14–9,5011,01–22,25mai sigur6,04–13,583,40–10,249,44–23,82
Șuturi blocate
66%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,612,997,60sigur2,72–6,491,34–4,654,06–11,13mai sigur2,18–7,030,85–5,143,03–12,17
Cornere
63%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,704,119,81sigur3,49–7,912,11–6,115,60–14,03mai sigur2,91–8,491,58–6,654,49–15,13
Posesie %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,8642,62sigur51,07–64,6535,84–49,41mai sigur49,40–66,3234,17–51,08
Pase
84%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție479358837sigur412–546292–425704–971mai sigur393–564274–442668–1007
Precizie pase %
77%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție86,0879,87sigur82,05–90,1175,55–84,20mai sigur80,76–91,4074,24–85,51
Faulturi
53%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,1513,2527,40sigur11,31–16,9810,31–16,2021,62–33,18mai sigur10,55–17,749,56–16,9520,12–34,69
Ofsaiduri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,492,99sigur0,33–2,660,40–2,580,73–5,24mai sigur0,03–2,960,11–2,870,14–5,83
Cartonașe galbene
32%
21%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,772,153,92sigur0,72–2,811,03–3,281,74–6,10mai sigur0,45–3,080,73–3,571,18–6,65
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,130,22sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,320,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,450,00–0,85
Parade portar
27%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,613,606,21sigur1,17–4,042,05–5,163,22–9,20mai sigur0,78–4,431,62–5,582,40–10,01
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,69 0,73–2,66 0,47–2,91 | 1,01 0,15–1,86 0,00–2,09 | 2,70 0,88–4,52 0,40–5,00 | 53% 24% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,23 3,37–7,09 2,88–7,58 | 3,62 1,88–5,36 1,41–5,83 | 8,85 5,25–12,46 4,29–13,41 | 64% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 15,60 11,68–19,53 10,59–20,62 | 11,09 7,53–14,66 6,57–15,62 | 26,70 19,21–34,18 17,16–36,23 | 78% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,81 6,87–12,75 6,04–13,58 | 6,82 4,14–9,50 3,40–10,24 | 16,63 11,01–22,25 9,44–23,82 | 73% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,61 2,72–6,49 2,18–7,03 | 2,99 1,34–4,65 0,85–5,14 | 7,60 4,06–11,13 3,03–12,17 | 66% 22% |
| Cornere | 5,70 3,49–7,91 2,91–8,49 | 4,11 2,11–6,11 1,58–6,65 | 9,81 5,60–14,03 4,49–15,13 | 63% 25% |
| Posesie % | 57,86 51,07–64,65 49,40–66,32 | 42,62 35,84–49,41 34,17–51,08 | — | 80% 17% |
| Pase | 479 412–546 393–564 | 358 292–425 274–442 | 837 704–971 668–1007 | 84% 16% |
| Precizie pase % | 86,08 82,05–90,11 80,76–91,40 | 79,87 75,55–84,20 74,24–85,51 | — | 77% 19% |
| Faulturi | 14,15 11,31–16,98 10,55–17,74 | 13,25 10,31–16,20 9,56–16,95 | 27,40 21,62–33,18 20,12–34,69 | 53% 39% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,50 0,33–2,66 0,03–2,96 | 1,49 0,40–2,58 0,11–2,87 | 2,99 0,73–5,24 0,14–5,83 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,72–2,81 0,45–3,08 | 2,15 1,03–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 3,92 1,74–6,10 1,18–6,65 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,61 1,17–4,04 0,78–4,43 | 3,60 2,05–5,16 1,62–5,58 | 6,21 3,22–9,20 2,40–10,01 | 27% 15% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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