Süper Lig·Etapa 21·
Süper Lig·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,493,13sigur0,67–2,610,63–2,341,31–4,95mai sigur0,42–2,860,40–2,570,83–5,43
Șuturi pe poartă
54%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,204,379,58sigur3,34–7,072,63–6,115,97–13,18mai sigur2,85–7,562,16–6,585,01–14,14
Total șuturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,5011,7527,24sigur11,57–19,428,18–15,3119,76–34,73mai sigur10,48–20,517,23–16,2717,70–36,78
Șuturi din careu
61%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,397,7517,14sigur6,45–12,335,06–10,4311,51–22,76mai sigur5,62–13,164,33–11,169,95–24,33
Șuturi blocate
61%
14%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,222,947,16sigur2,34–6,101,28–4,593,62–10,69mai sigur1,79–6,640,79–5,082,59–11,73
Cornere
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,624,019,64sigur3,41–7,832,01–6,025,42–13,85mai sigur2,83–8,411,48–6,554,31–14,96
Posesie %
65%
31%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,5846,14sigur46,79–60,3739,36–52,93mai sigur45,12–62,0437,69–54,60
Pase
70%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție462399861sigur395–529332–465727–995mai sigur377–548315–483692–1030
Precizie pase %
64%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție78,6475,42sigur74,61–82,6771,10–79,75mai sigur73,31–83,9669,79–81,06
Faulturi
39%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8413,8226,66sigur10,01–15,6810,88–16,7720,88–32,45mai sigur9,25–16,4410,13–17,5219,38–33,95
Ofsaiduri
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,751,993,73sigur0,59–2,910,89–3,081,48–5,99mai sigur0,29–3,210,60–3,370,89–6,58
Cartonașe galbene
28%
17%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,132,945,07sigur1,08–3,181,81–4,062,89–7,24mai sigur0,82–3,451,52–4,362,33–7,80
Cartonașe roșii
76%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,170,29sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,360,00–0,64mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,490,00–0,92
Parade portar
34%
16%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,823,356,17sigur1,38–4,251,80–4,913,18–9,16mai sigur0,99–4,641,37–5,332,36–9,97
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,64 0,67–2,61 0,42–2,86 | 1,49 0,63–2,34 0,40–2,57 | 3,13 1,31–4,95 0,83–5,43 | 42% 24% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,20 3,34–7,07 2,85–7,56 | 4,37 2,63–6,11 2,16–6,58 | 9,58 5,97–13,18 5,01–14,14 | 54% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 15,50 11,57–19,42 10,48–20,51 | 11,75 8,18–15,31 7,23–16,27 | 27,24 19,76–34,73 17,70–36,78 | 73% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,39 6,45–12,33 5,62–13,16 | 7,75 5,06–10,43 4,33–11,16 | 17,14 11,51–22,76 9,95–24,33 | 61% 30% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,22 2,34–6,10 1,79–6,64 | 2,94 1,28–4,59 0,79–5,08 | 7,16 3,62–10,69 2,59–11,73 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Cornere | 5,62 3,41–7,83 2,83–8,41 | 4,01 2,01–6,02 1,48–6,55 | 9,64 5,42–13,85 4,31–14,96 | 64% 25% |
| Posesie % | 53,58 46,79–60,37 45,12–62,04 | 46,14 39,36–52,93 37,69–54,60 | — | 65% 31% |
| Pase | 462 395–529 377–548 | 399 332–465 315–483 | 861 727–995 692–1030 | 70% 30% |
| Precizie pase % | 78,64 74,61–82,67 73,31–83,96 | 75,42 71,10–79,75 69,79–81,06 | — | 64% 32% |
| Faulturi | 12,84 10,01–15,68 9,25–16,44 | 13,82 10,88–16,77 10,13–17,52 | 26,66 20,88–32,45 19,38–33,95 | 39% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,75 0,59–2,91 0,29–3,21 | 1,99 0,89–3,08 0,60–3,37 | 3,73 1,48–5,99 0,89–6,58 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,13 1,08–3,18 0,82–3,45 | 2,94 1,81–4,06 1,52–4,36 | 5,07 2,89–7,24 2,33–7,80 | 28% 17% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,36 0,00–0,49 | 0,29 0,00–0,64 0,00–0,92 | 76% 14% |
| Parade portar | 2,82 1,38–4,25 0,99–4,64 | 3,35 1,80–4,91 1,37–5,33 | 6,17 3,18–9,16 2,36–9,97 | 34% 16% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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