Süper Lig·Etapa 24·
Süper Lig·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
29%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,951,222,17sigur0,00–1,920,37–2,080,35–4,00mai sigur0,00–2,170,14–2,300,00–4,48
Șuturi pe poartă
32%
15%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,253,987,23sigur1,39–5,112,24–5,723,63–10,84mai sigur0,90–5,601,77–6,192,67–11,79
Total șuturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4912,1122,60sigur6,57–14,428,55–15,6715,11–30,09mai sigur5,48–15,517,59–16,6313,06–32,14
Șuturi din careu
34%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,737,8214,54sigur3,79–9,675,13–10,508,92–20,17mai sigur2,96–10,504,40–11,237,35–21,73
Șuturi blocate
39%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,003,206,20sigur1,12–4,881,54–4,852,66–9,73mai sigur0,57–5,431,05–5,341,63–10,77
Cornere
31%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,954,918,86sigur1,74–6,162,91–6,914,65–13,07mai sigur1,16–6,742,38–7,443,54–14,18
Posesie %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,4651,80sigur41,67–55,2545,01–58,58mai sigur40,00–56,9243,34–60,25
Pase
42%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție406430836sigur339–473363–496702–969mai sigur321–491346–514666–1005
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție81,0482,76sigur77,01–85,0778,44–87,09mai sigur75,72–86,3677,13–88,40
Faulturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3512,7326,08sigur10,51–16,199,78–15,6720,29–31,86mai sigur9,75–16,949,03–16,4218,79–33,36
Ofsaiduri
38%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,623,23sigur0,45–2,770,53–2,710,98–5,48mai sigur0,15–3,070,24–3,000,39–6,07
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,022,084,10sigur0,97–3,070,95–3,201,92–6,28mai sigur0,71–3,340,66–3,501,36–6,83
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
43%
18%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,622,515,13sigur1,18–4,060,96–4,072,14–8,13mai sigur0,80–4,440,53–4,491,33–8,94
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,95 0,00–1,92 0,00–2,17 | 1,22 0,37–2,08 0,14–2,30 | 2,17 0,35–4,00 0,00–4,48 | 29% 29% 42% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,25 1,39–5,11 0,90–5,60 | 3,98 2,24–5,72 1,77–6,19 | 7,23 3,63–10,84 2,67–11,79 | 32% 15% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 10,49 6,57–14,42 5,48–15,51 | 12,11 8,55–15,67 7,59–16,63 | 22,60 15,11–30,09 13,06–32,14 | 33% 59% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,73 3,79–9,67 2,96–10,50 | 7,82 5,13–10,50 4,40–11,23 | 14,54 8,92–20,17 7,35–21,73 | 34% 56% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,00 1,12–4,88 0,57–5,43 | 3,20 1,54–4,85 1,05–5,34 | 6,20 2,66–9,73 1,63–10,77 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Cornere | 3,95 1,74–6,16 1,16–6,74 | 4,91 2,91–6,91 2,38–7,44 | 8,86 4,65–13,07 3,54–14,18 | 31% 56% |
| Posesie % | 48,46 41,67–55,25 40,00–56,92 | 51,80 45,01–58,58 43,34–60,25 | — | 40% 55% |
| Pase | 406 339–473 321–491 | 430 363–496 346–514 | 836 702–969 666–1005 | 42% 58% |
| Precizie pase % | 81,04 77,01–85,07 75,72–86,36 | 82,76 78,44–87,09 77,13–88,40 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 13,35 10,51–16,19 9,75–16,94 | 12,73 9,78–15,67 9,03–16,42 | 26,08 20,29–31,86 18,79–33,36 | 51% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,07 | 1,62 0,53–2,71 0,24–3,00 | 3,23 0,98–5,48 0,39–6,07 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,02 0,97–3,07 0,71–3,34 | 2,08 0,95–3,20 0,66–3,50 | 4,10 1,92–6,28 1,36–6,83 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,62 1,18–4,06 0,80–4,44 | 2,51 0,96–4,07 0,53–4,49 | 5,13 2,14–8,13 1,33–8,94 | 43% 18% 39% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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