Süper Lig·Etapa 24·
Süper Lig·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
13%
18%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,912,293,20sigur0,00–1,881,43–3,141,38–5,02mai sigur0,00–2,131,21–3,370,90–5,50
Șuturi pe poartă
19%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,465,549,00sigur1,59–5,323,80–7,285,39–12,60mai sigur1,10–5,813,33–7,754,44–13,56
Total șuturi
20%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1915,0626,25sigur7,26–15,1111,50–18,6218,76–33,74mai sigur6,17–16,2110,54–19,5816,71–35,79
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,5210,9017,42sigur3,57–9,468,22–13,5811,80–23,04mai sigur2,74–10,297,48–14,3210,23–24,61
Șuturi blocate
23%
13%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,884,317,19sigur1,00–4,772,66–5,963,66–10,73mai sigur0,46–5,312,16–6,462,62–11,76
Cornere
22%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,815,689,50sigur1,60–6,033,68–7,685,28–13,71mai sigur1,03–6,603,15–8,224,18–14,82
Posesie %
15%
82%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,4058,15sigur34,61–48,1951,37–64,94mai sigur32,94–49,8649,70–66,61
Pase
14%
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție349480829sigur282–417413–546695–963mai sigur264–435396–564660–998
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,9784,31sigur72,94–80,9979,99–88,63mai sigur71,64–82,2978,68–89,94
Faulturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7712,1824,95sigur9,93–15,619,23–15,1219,17–30,73mai sigur9,18–16,368,48–15,8717,66–32,24
Ofsaiduri
54%
19%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,561,824,38sigur1,40–3,720,73–2,912,13–6,64mai sigur1,10–4,020,44–3,201,54–7,23
Cartonașe galbene
41%
20%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,192,134,32sigur1,14–3,241,00–3,262,15–6,50mai sigur0,88–3,510,71–3,551,59–7,06
Cartonașe roșii
15%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,180,090,27sigur0,02–0,340,00–0,270,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,490,00–0,410,00–0,90
Parade portar
59%
15%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,572,486,04sigur2,13–5,000,92–4,033,05–9,04mai sigur1,74–5,390,50–4,462,24–9,85
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,91 0,00–1,88 0,00–2,13 | 2,29 1,43–3,14 1,21–3,37 | 3,20 1,38–5,02 0,90–5,50 | 13% 18% 68% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,46 1,59–5,32 1,10–5,81 | 5,54 3,80–7,28 3,33–7,75 | 9,00 5,39–12,60 4,44–13,56 | 19% 70% |
| Total șuturi | 11,19 7,26–15,11 6,17–16,21 | 15,06 11,50–18,62 10,54–19,58 | 26,25 18,76–33,74 16,71–35,79 | 20% 75% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,52 3,57–9,46 2,74–10,29 | 10,90 8,22–13,58 7,48–14,32 | 17,42 11,80–23,04 10,23–24,61 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,88 1,00–4,77 0,46–5,31 | 4,31 2,66–5,96 2,16–6,46 | 7,19 3,66–10,73 2,62–11,76 | 23% 13% 63% |
| Cornere | 3,81 1,60–6,03 1,03–6,60 | 5,68 3,68–7,68 3,15–8,22 | 9,50 5,28–13,71 4,18–14,82 | 22% 67% |
| Posesie % | 41,40 34,61–48,19 32,94–49,86 | 58,15 51,37–64,94 49,70–66,61 | — | 15% 82% |
| Pase | 349 282–417 264–435 | 480 413–546 396–564 | 829 695–963 660–998 | 14% 86% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,97 72,94–80,99 71,64–82,29 | 84,31 79,99–88,63 78,68–89,94 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 12,77 9,93–15,61 9,18–16,36 | 12,18 9,23–15,12 8,48–15,87 | 24,95 19,17–30,73 17,66–32,24 | 51% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,56 1,40–3,72 1,10–4,02 | 1,82 0,73–2,91 0,44–3,20 | 4,38 2,13–6,64 1,54–7,23 | 54% 19% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,19 1,14–3,24 0,88–3,51 | 2,13 1,00–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 4,32 2,15–6,50 1,59–7,06 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,18 0,02–0,34 0,00–0,49 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,27 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,90 | 15% 78% |
| Parade portar | 3,57 2,13–5,00 1,74–5,39 | 2,48 0,92–4,03 0,50–4,46 | 6,04 3,05–9,04 2,24–9,85 | 59% 15% 26% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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