Süper Lig·Etapa 24·
Süper Lig·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
25%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,162,78sigur0,65–2,580,31–2,020,96–4,60mai sigur0,40–2,840,08–2,250,48–5,08
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,993,868,84sigur3,12–6,852,11–5,605,24–12,45mai sigur2,64–7,341,65–6,064,28–13,40
Total șuturi
70%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0510,9525,00sigur10,12–17,977,39–14,5117,51–32,49mai sigur9,03–19,066,43–15,4715,46–34,54
Șuturi din careu
65%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,496,5415,04sigur5,55–11,443,86–9,229,41–20,66mai sigur4,72–12,273,12–9,967,85–22,23
Șuturi blocate
63%
15%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,672,376,05sigur1,79–5,560,72–4,032,51–9,58mai sigur1,25–6,100,23–4,521,48–10,62
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,464,189,64sigur3,25–7,672,18–6,185,43–13,85mai sigur2,67–8,251,65–6,724,32–14,96
Posesie %
51%
44%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,5249,02sigur43,73–57,3142,23–55,80mai sigur42,06–58,9840,56–57,47
Pase
50%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție442440882sigur375–509374–507749–1016mai sigur357–527357–524713–1052
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție81,7081,84sigur77,67–85,7377,52–86,17mai sigur76,38–87,0276,21–87,48
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1413,7726,91sigur10,30–15,9810,82–16,7121,13–32,69mai sigur9,55–16,7410,08–17,4619,62–34,20
Ofsaiduri
27%
22%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,412,013,42sigur0,25–2,570,91–3,101,17–5,67mai sigur0,00–2,880,62–3,390,58–6,26
Cartonașe galbene
38%
20%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,162,274,43sigur1,11–3,211,14–3,402,25–6,61mai sigur0,85–3,480,85–3,691,70–7,17
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,120,24sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,310,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,440,00–0,87
Parade portar
33%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,553,085,63sigur1,12–3,991,53–4,642,64–8,63mai sigur0,73–4,381,10–5,061,83–9,44
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,62 0,65–2,58 0,40–2,84 | 1,16 0,31–2,02 0,08–2,25 | 2,78 0,96–4,60 0,48–5,08 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,99 3,12–6,85 2,64–7,34 | 3,86 2,11–5,60 1,65–6,06 | 8,84 5,24–12,45 4,28–13,40 | 58% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 14,05 10,12–17,97 9,03–19,06 | 10,95 7,39–14,51 6,43–15,47 | 25,00 17,51–32,49 15,46–34,54 | 70% 24% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,49 5,55–11,44 4,72–12,27 | 6,54 3,86–9,22 3,12–9,96 | 15,04 9,41–20,66 7,85–22,23 | 65% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,67 1,79–5,56 1,25–6,10 | 2,37 0,72–4,03 0,23–4,52 | 6,05 2,51–9,58 1,48–10,62 | 63% 15% 23% |
| Cornere | 5,46 3,25–7,67 2,67–8,25 | 4,18 2,18–6,18 1,65–6,72 | 9,64 5,43–13,85 4,32–14,96 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 50,52 43,73–57,31 42,06–58,98 | 49,02 42,23–55,80 40,56–57,47 | — | 51% 44% |
| Pase | 442 375–509 357–527 | 440 374–507 357–524 | 882 749–1016 713–1052 | 50% 49% |
| Precizie pase % | 81,70 77,67–85,73 76,38–87,02 | 81,84 77,52–86,17 76,21–87,48 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 13,14 10,30–15,98 9,55–16,74 | 13,77 10,82–16,71 10,08–17,46 | 26,91 21,13–32,69 19,62–34,20 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,41 0,25–2,57 0,00–2,88 | 2,01 0,91–3,10 0,62–3,39 | 3,42 1,17–5,67 0,58–6,26 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,16 1,11–3,21 0,85–3,48 | 2,27 1,14–3,40 0,85–3,69 | 4,43 2,25–6,61 1,70–7,17 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,55 1,12–3,99 0,73–4,38 | 3,08 1,53–4,64 1,10–5,06 | 5,63 2,64–8,63 1,83–9,44 | 33% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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