Süper Lig·Etapa 30·
Süper Lig·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
23%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,770,982,75sigur0,80–2,740,12–1,830,93–4,57mai sigur0,55–2,990,00–2,060,45–5,05
Șuturi pe poartă
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,283,288,56sigur3,42–7,141,54–5,024,95–12,16mai sigur2,93–7,631,07–5,494,00–13,12
Total șuturi
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,359,7026,05sigur12,43–20,286,14–13,2718,57–33,54mai sigur11,34–21,375,18–14,2216,52–35,59
Șuturi din careu
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,385,8616,24sigur7,44–13,323,18–8,5410,62–21,86mai sigur6,61–14,152,44–9,289,05–23,43
Șuturi blocate
72%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,332,366,69sigur2,45–6,220,71–4,013,16–10,23mai sigur1,91–6,760,21–4,512,12–11,27
Cornere
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,793,769,55sigur3,58–8,001,76–5,765,34–13,76mai sigur3,00–8,581,23–6,294,23–14,87
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,0444,95sigur48,25–61,8338,16–51,73mai sigur46,58–63,5036,49–53,40
Pase
76%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție462377838sigur394–529310–443705–972mai sigur376–547293–461669–1008
Precizie pase %
68%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție83,7779,62sigur79,74–87,8075,30–83,95mai sigur78,45–89,0973,99–85,25
Faulturi
66%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7512,0926,84sigur11,91–17,599,14–15,0321,06–32,62mai sigur11,16–18,358,39–15,7819,55–34,12
Ofsaiduri
41%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,473,09sigur0,46–2,780,38–2,570,84–5,35mai sigur0,16–3,080,09–2,850,25–5,94
Cartonașe galbene
34%
19%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,162,554,71sigur1,11–3,211,42–3,682,53–6,89mai sigur0,85–3,481,13–3,971,98–7,45
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,130,25sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,320,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,450,00–0,88
Parade portar
21%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,203,625,82sigur0,76–3,642,06–5,182,83–8,81mai sigur0,38–4,021,64–5,602,02–9,63
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,77 0,80–2,74 0,55–2,99 | 0,98 0,12–1,83 0,00–2,06 | 2,75 0,93–4,57 0,45–5,05 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,28 3,42–7,14 2,93–7,63 | 3,28 1,54–5,02 1,07–5,49 | 8,56 4,95–12,16 4,00–13,12 | 70% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 16,35 12,43–20,28 11,34–21,37 | 9,70 6,14–13,27 5,18–14,22 | 26,05 18,57–33,54 16,52–35,59 | 89% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,38 7,44–13,32 6,61–14,15 | 5,86 3,18–8,54 2,44–9,28 | 16,24 10,62–21,86 9,05–23,43 | 84% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,33 2,45–6,22 1,91–6,76 | 2,36 0,71–4,01 0,21–4,51 | 6,69 3,16–10,23 2,12–11,27 | 72% 16% |
| Cornere | 5,79 3,58–8,00 3,00–8,58 | 3,76 1,76–5,76 1,23–6,29 | 9,55 5,34–13,76 4,23–14,87 | 69% 20% |
| Posesie % | 55,04 48,25–61,83 46,58–63,50 | 44,95 38,16–51,73 36,49–53,40 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 462 394–529 376–547 | 377 310–443 293–461 | 838 705–972 669–1008 | 76% 24% |
| Precizie pase % | 83,77 79,74–87,80 78,45–89,09 | 79,62 75,30–83,95 73,99–85,25 | — | 68% 27% |
| Faulturi | 14,75 11,91–17,59 11,16–18,35 | 12,09 9,14–15,03 8,39–15,78 | 26,84 21,06–32,62 19,55–34,12 | 66% 27% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,62 0,46–2,78 0,16–3,08 | 1,47 0,38–2,57 0,09–2,85 | 3,09 0,84–5,35 0,25–5,94 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,16 1,11–3,21 0,85–3,48 | 2,55 1,42–3,68 1,13–3,97 | 4,71 2,53–6,89 1,98–7,45 | 34% 19% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,25 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 2,20 0,76–3,64 0,38–4,02 | 3,62 2,06–5,18 1,64–5,60 | 5,82 2,83–8,81 2,02–9,63 | 21% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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