Süper Lig·Etapa 30·
Süper Lig·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
27%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,261,182,45sigur0,30–2,230,33–2,040,62–4,27mai sigur0,05–2,480,10–2,260,14–4,75
Șuturi pe poartă
49%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,293,838,12sigur2,42–6,152,09–5,574,51–11,72mai sigur1,93–6,641,62–6,043,56–12,68
Total șuturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7811,5624,34sigur8,85–16,708,00–15,1216,85–31,82mai sigur7,76–17,797,04–16,0814,80–33,87
Șuturi din careu
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,537,9616,48sigur5,59–11,475,27–10,6410,86–22,11mai sigur4,76–12,304,54–11,379,29–23,67
Șuturi blocate
52%
16%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,512,896,40sigur1,62–5,391,24–4,552,87–9,94mai sigur1,08–5,930,75–5,041,83–10,97
Cornere
46%
13%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,714,519,22sigur2,49–6,922,51–6,515,00–13,43mai sigur1,92–7,501,98–7,043,90–14,54
Posesie %
68%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,7745,65sigur47,98–61,5638,86–52,43mai sigur46,31–63,2337,19–54,10
Pase
74%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție443365808sigur376–510299–432675–942mai sigur358–529281–449639–978
Precizie pase %
61%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție82,6880,08sigur78,65–86,7175,76–84,41mai sigur77,36–88,0074,45–85,72
Faulturi
53%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4812,5326,00sigur10,64–16,319,58–15,4720,22–31,78mai sigur9,88–17,078,83–16,2218,71–33,29
Ofsaiduri
38%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,613,19sigur0,43–2,750,51–2,700,94–5,45mai sigur0,13–3,050,22–2,990,35–6,04
Cartonașe galbene
40%
19%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,242,234,47sigur1,19–3,291,10–3,362,29–6,65mai sigur0,92–3,560,81–3,651,73–7,20
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,110,22sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,300,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,430,00–0,85
Parade portar
34%
17%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,552,995,54sigur1,11–3,991,43–4,552,55–8,53mai sigur0,73–4,371,01–4,971,73–9,34
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,26 0,30–2,23 0,05–2,48 | 1,18 0,33–2,04 0,10–2,26 | 2,45 0,62–4,27 0,14–4,75 | 38% 27% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,29 2,42–6,15 1,93–6,64 | 3,83 2,09–5,57 1,62–6,04 | 8,12 4,51–11,72 3,56–12,68 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total șuturi | 12,78 8,85–16,70 7,76–17,79 | 11,56 8,00–15,12 7,04–16,08 | 24,34 16,85–31,82 14,80–33,87 | 56% 36% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,53 5,59–11,47 4,76–12,30 | 7,96 5,27–10,64 4,54–11,37 | 16,48 10,86–22,11 9,29–23,67 | 51% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,51 1,62–5,39 1,08–5,93 | 2,89 1,24–4,55 0,75–5,04 | 6,40 2,87–9,94 1,83–10,97 | 52% 16% 33% |
| Cornere | 4,71 2,49–6,92 1,92–7,50 | 4,51 2,51–6,51 1,98–7,04 | 9,22 5,00–13,43 3,90–14,54 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Posesie % | 54,77 47,98–61,56 46,31–63,23 | 45,65 38,86–52,43 37,19–54,10 | — | 68% 27% |
| Pase | 443 376–510 358–529 | 365 299–432 281–449 | 808 675–942 639–978 | 74% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 82,68 78,65–86,71 77,36–88,00 | 80,08 75,76–84,41 74,45–85,72 | — | 61% 34% |
| Faulturi | 13,48 10,64–16,31 9,88–17,07 | 12,53 9,58–15,47 8,83–16,22 | 26,00 20,22–31,78 18,71–33,29 | 53% 39% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,05 | 1,61 0,51–2,70 0,22–2,99 | 3,19 0,94–5,45 0,35–6,04 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,24 1,19–3,29 0,92–3,56 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 4,47 2,29–6,65 1,73–7,20 | 40% 19% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,55 1,11–3,99 0,73–4,37 | 2,99 1,43–4,55 1,01–4,97 | 5,54 2,55–8,53 1,73–9,34 | 34% 17% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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