Süper Lig·Etapa 31·
Süper Lig·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
24%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,393,04sigur0,68–2,620,54–2,241,22–4,86mai sigur0,43–2,870,31–2,470,74–5,34
Șuturi pe poartă
54%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,354,499,84sigur3,48–7,212,75–6,246,24–13,45mai sigur2,99–7,702,29–6,705,28–14,40
Total șuturi
62%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7412,6527,39sigur10,81–18,669,09–16,2219,91–34,88mai sigur9,72–19,768,13–17,1817,86–36,93
Șuturi din careu
52%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,008,2617,26sigur6,06–11,945,58–10,9411,63–22,88mai sigur5,23–12,774,84–11,6710,07–24,45
Șuturi blocate
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,533,196,71sigur1,65–5,411,53–4,843,18–10,25mai sigur1,10–5,951,04–5,332,14–11,28
Cornere
53%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,144,439,56sigur2,92–7,352,43–6,435,35–13,78mai sigur2,35–7,921,89–6,964,24–14,88
Posesie %
62%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,4947,51sigur46,70–60,2840,72–54,29mai sigur45,03–61,9539,05–55,96
Pase
63%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție442402844sigur375–510336–468711–978mai sigur357–528318–486675–1014
Precizie pase %
61%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție83,7781,05sigur79,74–87,8076,72–85,37mai sigur78,45–89,1075,41–86,68
Faulturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7311,4825,21sigur10,89–16,568,54–14,4319,43–30,99mai sigur10,13–17,327,79–15,1817,92–32,50
Ofsaiduri
47%
20%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,201,854,05sigur1,04–3,360,75–2,941,80–6,30mai sigur0,74–3,660,47–3,231,21–6,89
Cartonașe galbene
38%
20%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,002,074,07sigur0,95–3,050,94–3,201,89–6,25mai sigur0,69–3,320,65–3,491,34–6,81
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,100,23sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,290,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,420,00–0,86
Parade portar
34%
16%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,903,406,29sigur1,46–4,331,84–4,953,30–9,29mai sigur1,07–4,721,42–5,382,49–10,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,65 0,68–2,62 0,43–2,87 | 1,39 0,54–2,24 0,31–2,47 | 3,04 1,22–4,86 0,74–5,34 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,35 3,48–7,21 2,99–7,70 | 4,49 2,75–6,24 2,29–6,70 | 9,84 6,24–13,45 5,28–14,40 | 54% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 14,74 10,81–18,66 9,72–19,76 | 12,65 9,09–16,22 8,13–17,18 | 27,39 19,91–34,88 17,86–36,93 | 62% 31% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,00 6,06–11,94 5,23–12,77 | 8,26 5,58–10,94 4,84–11,67 | 17,26 11,63–22,88 10,07–24,45 | 52% 38% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,53 1,65–5,41 1,10–5,95 | 3,19 1,53–4,84 1,04–5,33 | 6,71 3,18–10,25 2,14–11,28 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,14 2,92–7,35 2,35–7,92 | 4,43 2,43–6,43 1,89–6,96 | 9,56 5,35–13,78 4,24–14,88 | 53% 35% |
| Posesie % | 53,49 46,70–60,28 45,03–61,95 | 47,51 40,72–54,29 39,05–55,96 | — | 62% 34% |
| Pase | 442 375–510 357–528 | 402 336–468 318–486 | 844 711–978 675–1014 | 63% 37% |
| Precizie pase % | 83,77 79,74–87,80 78,45–89,10 | 81,05 76,72–85,37 75,41–86,68 | — | 61% 34% |
| Faulturi | 13,73 10,89–16,56 10,13–17,32 | 11,48 8,54–14,43 7,79–15,18 | 25,21 19,43–30,99 17,92–32,50 | 64% 29% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,20 1,04–3,36 0,74–3,66 | 1,85 0,75–2,94 0,47–3,23 | 4,05 1,80–6,30 1,21–6,89 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,00 0,95–3,05 0,69–3,32 | 2,07 0,94–3,20 0,65–3,49 | 4,07 1,89–6,25 1,34–6,81 | 38% 20% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,90 1,46–4,33 1,07–4,72 | 3,40 1,84–4,95 1,42–5,38 | 6,29 3,30–9,29 2,49–10,10 | 34% 16% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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