Süper Lig·Etapa 31·
Süper Lig·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
22%
23%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,081,802,88sigur0,11–2,040,95–2,661,06–4,70mai sigur0,00–2,290,72–2,890,58–5,18
Șuturi pe poartă
26%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,805,188,99sigur1,94–5,673,44–6,935,38–12,59mai sigur1,45–6,162,98–7,394,43–13,55
Total șuturi
22%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3314,7126,05sigur7,41–15,2611,15–18,2718,56–33,53mai sigur6,32–16,3510,19–19,2316,51–35,58
Șuturi din careu
23%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,929,4416,36sigur3,98–9,866,76–12,1210,74–21,98mai sigur3,15–10,696,02–12,869,17–23,55
Șuturi blocate
26%
14%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,934,097,01sigur1,04–4,812,44–5,743,48–10,55mai sigur0,50–5,351,94–6,232,44–11,58
Cornere
31%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,245,279,51sigur2,03–6,453,27–7,275,30–13,73mai sigur1,45–7,032,74–7,804,19–14,83
Posesie %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,5453,78sigur39,75–53,3346,99–60,56mai sigur38,08–55,0045,32–62,24
Pase
30%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție425489914sigur358–492422–555780–1047mai sigur339–510405–573744–1083
Precizie pase %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție79,8882,96sigur75,85–83,9178,64–87,29mai sigur74,56–85,2077,33–88,60
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3013,4226,72sigur10,46–16,1410,47–16,3620,94–32,50mai sigur9,71–16,899,72–17,1119,43–34,00
Ofsaiduri
53%
21%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,071,403,48sigur0,91–3,230,31–2,501,22–5,73mai sigur0,61–3,530,02–2,790,63–6,32
Cartonașe galbene
45%
20%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,312,084,39sigur1,27–3,360,95–3,212,22–6,57mai sigur1,00–3,630,66–3,501,66–7,13
Cartonașe roșii
13%
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,160,100,26sigur0,00–0,320,00–0,290,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,470,00–0,420,00–0,89
Parade portar
59%
15%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,702,606,30sigur2,27–5,141,04–4,153,31–9,29mai sigur1,88–5,530,62–4,582,49–10,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,08 0,11–2,04 0,00–2,29 | 1,80 0,95–2,66 0,72–2,89 | 2,88 1,06–4,70 0,58–5,18 | 22% 23% 54% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,80 1,94–5,67 1,45–6,16 | 5,18 3,44–6,93 2,98–7,39 | 8,99 5,38–12,59 4,43–13,55 | 26% 61% |
| Total șuturi | 11,33 7,41–15,26 6,32–16,35 | 14,71 11,15–18,27 10,19–19,23 | 26,05 18,56–33,53 16,51–35,58 | 22% 71% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,92 3,98–9,86 3,15–10,69 | 9,44 6,76–12,12 6,02–12,86 | 16,36 10,74–21,98 9,17–23,55 | 23% 69% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,93 1,04–4,81 0,50–5,35 | 4,09 2,44–5,74 1,94–6,23 | 7,01 3,48–10,55 2,44–11,58 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Cornere | 4,24 2,03–6,45 1,45–7,03 | 5,27 3,27–7,27 2,74–7,80 | 9,51 5,30–13,73 4,19–14,83 | 31% 57% |
| Posesie % | 46,54 39,75–53,33 38,08–55,00 | 53,78 46,99–60,56 45,32–62,24 | — | 31% 64% |
| Pase | 425 358–492 339–510 | 489 422–555 405–573 | 914 780–1047 744–1083 | 30% 70% |
| Precizie pase % | 79,88 75,85–83,91 74,56–85,20 | 82,96 78,64–87,29 77,33–88,60 | — | 32% 63% |
| Faulturi | 13,30 10,46–16,14 9,71–16,89 | 13,42 10,47–16,36 9,72–17,11 | 26,72 20,94–32,50 19,43–34,00 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,07 0,91–3,23 0,61–3,53 | 1,40 0,31–2,50 0,02–2,79 | 3,48 1,22–5,73 0,63–6,32 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,31 1,27–3,36 1,00–3,63 | 2,08 0,95–3,21 0,66–3,50 | 4,39 2,22–6,57 1,66–7,13 | 45% 20% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,16 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,47 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,26 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,89 | 13% 79% |
| Parade portar | 3,70 2,27–5,14 1,88–5,53 | 2,60 1,04–4,15 0,62–4,58 | 6,30 3,31–9,29 2,49–10,10 | 59% 15% 26% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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