Süper Lig·Etapa 32·
Süper Lig·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
23%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,243,02sigur0,81–2,750,39–2,101,20–4,85mai sigur0,56–3,000,16–2,320,72–5,33
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,184,009,18sigur3,32–7,042,26–5,745,58–12,79mai sigur2,83–7,531,79–6,214,62–13,74
Total șuturi
73%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9411,2326,16sigur11,01–18,867,66–14,7918,68–33,65mai sigur9,92–19,956,71–15,7516,62–35,70
Șuturi din careu
75%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,996,7216,71sigur7,05–12,934,04–9,4011,09–22,34mai sigur6,22–13,763,30–10,149,52–23,90
Șuturi blocate
57%
15%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,932,946,87sigur2,05–5,811,29–4,603,34–10,41mai sigur1,50–6,360,80–5,092,30–11,44
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,463,969,42sigur3,24–7,671,96–5,965,20–13,63mai sigur2,67–8,241,43–6,494,09–14,74
Posesie %
74%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,8144,15sigur49,02–62,6037,37–50,94mai sigur47,35–64,2735,70–52,61
Pase
80%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție482382864sigur415–549316–449731–998mai sigur397–567298–466695–1034
Precizie pase %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție85,5083,09sigur81,47–89,5378,77–87,42mai sigur80,17–90,8277,46–88,73
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7812,9024,69sigur8,95–14,629,96–15,8518,90–30,47mai sigur8,19–15,389,21–16,6017,40–31,97
Ofsaiduri
19%
18%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,412,584,00sigur0,25–2,571,49–3,681,74–6,25mai sigur0,00–2,871,20–3,971,15–6,84
Cartonașe galbene
32%
21%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,672,053,72sigur0,62–2,720,92–3,181,54–5,90mai sigur0,35–2,980,63–3,470,98–6,46
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,120,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,310,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,83
Parade portar
28%
15%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,693,636,33sigur1,26–4,132,08–5,193,33–9,32mai sigur0,87–4,521,65–5,612,52–10,13
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,78 0,81–2,75 0,56–3,00 | 1,24 0,39–2,10 0,16–2,32 | 3,02 1,20–4,85 0,72–5,33 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,18 3,32–7,04 2,83–7,53 | 4,00 2,26–5,74 1,79–6,21 | 9,18 5,58–12,79 4,62–13,74 | 59% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 14,94 11,01–18,86 9,92–19,95 | 11,23 7,66–14,79 6,71–15,75 | 26,16 18,68–33,65 16,62–35,70 | 73% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,99 7,05–12,93 6,22–13,76 | 6,72 4,04–9,40 3,30–10,14 | 16,71 11,09–22,34 9,52–23,90 | 75% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,93 2,05–5,81 1,50–6,36 | 2,94 1,29–4,60 0,80–5,09 | 6,87 3,34–10,41 2,30–11,44 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,46 3,24–7,67 2,67–8,24 | 3,96 1,96–5,96 1,43–6,49 | 9,42 5,20–13,63 4,09–14,74 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 55,81 49,02–62,60 47,35–64,27 | 44,15 37,37–50,94 35,70–52,61 | — | 74% 23% |
| Pase | 482 415–549 397–567 | 382 316–449 298–466 | 864 731–998 695–1034 | 80% 20% |
| Precizie pase % | 85,50 81,47–89,53 80,17–90,82 | 83,09 78,77–87,42 77,46–88,73 | — | 60% 35% |
| Faulturi | 11,78 8,95–14,62 8,19–15,38 | 12,90 9,96–15,85 9,21–16,60 | 24,69 18,90–30,47 17,40–31,97 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,41 0,25–2,57 0,00–2,87 | 2,58 1,49–3,68 1,20–3,97 | 4,00 1,74–6,25 1,15–6,84 | 19% 18% 63% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,62–2,72 0,35–2,98 | 2,05 0,92–3,18 0,63–3,47 | 3,72 1,54–5,90 0,98–6,46 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,69 1,26–4,13 0,87–4,52 | 3,63 2,08–5,19 1,65–5,61 | 6,33 3,33–9,32 2,52–10,13 | 28% 15% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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