Süper Lig·Etapa 33·
Süper Lig·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
71%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,280,803,08sigur1,31–3,250,00–1,661,26–4,90mai sigur1,06–3,500,00–1,880,78–5,38
Șuturi pe poartă
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,253,109,35sigur4,39–8,111,36–4,845,74–12,95mai sigur3,90–8,600,89–5,314,79–13,91
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,599,4527,04sigur13,66–21,515,89–13,0119,55–34,53mai sigur12,57–22,604,93–13,9717,50–36,58
Șuturi din careu
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,975,3317,29sigur9,02–14,912,65–8,0111,67–22,92mai sigur8,19–15,741,91–8,7510,10–24,48
Șuturi blocate
72%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,532,477,00sigur2,65–6,410,82–4,133,47–10,54mai sigur2,10–6,950,33–4,622,43–11,57
Cornere
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,013,3610,37sigur4,80–9,221,36–5,366,15–14,58mai sigur4,22–9,800,82–5,895,05–15,69
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,9738,92sigur55,17–68,7632,13–45,70mai sigur53,51–70,4330,46–47,37
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție548353901sigur480–615287–420767–1035mai sigur462–633269–437732–1070
Precizie pase %
81%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție83,3075,97sigur79,27–87,3371,65–80,30mai sigur77,97–88,6270,34–81,61
Faulturi
32%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7413,6325,37sigur8,90–14,5810,68–16,5719,58–31,15mai sigur8,15–15,339,93–17,3218,08–32,65
Ofsaiduri
52%
21%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,111,473,58sigur0,95–3,270,37–2,561,33–5,83mai sigur0,65–3,570,09–2,850,74–6,42
Cartonașe galbene
30%
20%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,732,233,96sigur0,68–2,781,10–3,361,78–6,14mai sigur0,41–3,040,81–3,651,23–6,70
Cartonașe roșii
82%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,150,21sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,340,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,470,00–0,84
Parade portar
20%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,213,685,88sigur0,77–3,642,12–5,242,89–8,88mai sigur0,38–4,031,70–5,662,08–9,69
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,28 1,31–3,25 1,06–3,50 | 0,80 0,00–1,66 0,00–1,88 | 3,08 1,26–4,90 0,78–5,38 | 71% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,25 4,39–8,11 3,90–8,60 | 3,10 1,36–4,84 0,89–5,31 | 9,35 5,74–12,95 4,79–13,91 | 81% |
| Total șuturi | 17,59 13,66–21,51 12,57–22,60 | 9,45 5,89–13,01 4,93–13,97 | 27,04 19,55–34,53 17,50–36,58 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,97 9,02–14,91 8,19–15,74 | 5,33 2,65–8,01 1,91–8,75 | 17,29 11,67–22,92 10,10–24,48 | 93% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,53 2,65–6,41 2,10–6,95 | 2,47 0,82–4,13 0,33–4,62 | 7,00 3,47–10,54 2,43–11,57 | 72% 16% |
| Cornere | 7,01 4,80–9,22 4,22–9,80 | 3,36 1,36–5,36 0,82–5,89 | 10,37 6,15–14,58 5,05–15,69 | 84% |
| Posesie % | 61,97 55,17–68,76 53,51–70,43 | 38,92 32,13–45,70 30,46–47,37 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 548 480–615 462–633 | 353 287–420 269–437 | 901 767–1035 732–1070 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 83,30 79,27–87,33 77,97–88,62 | 75,97 71,65–80,30 70,34–81,61 | — | 81% 16% |
| Faulturi | 11,74 8,90–14,58 8,15–15,33 | 13,63 10,68–16,57 9,93–17,32 | 25,37 19,58–31,15 18,08–32,65 | 32% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,11 0,95–3,27 0,65–3,57 | 1,47 0,37–2,56 0,09–2,85 | 3,58 1,33–5,83 0,74–6,42 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,73 0,68–2,78 0,41–3,04 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 3,96 1,78–6,14 1,23–6,70 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,21 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,84 | 82% 13% |
| Parade portar | 2,21 0,77–3,64 0,38–4,03 | 3,68 2,12–5,24 1,70–5,66 | 5,88 2,89–8,88 2,08–9,69 | 20% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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