Süper Lig·Etapa 33·
Süper Lig·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
24%
23%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,151,822,97sigur0,18–2,120,97–2,681,15–4,80mai sigur0,00–2,370,74–2,900,67–5,27
Șuturi pe poartă
24%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,885,549,42sigur2,02–5,743,80–7,285,82–13,03mai sigur1,53–6,233,33–7,754,86–13,98
Total șuturi
24%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7414,9226,66sigur7,81–15,6611,36–18,4819,17–34,14mai sigur6,72–16,7510,40–19,4417,12–36,20
Șuturi din careu
28%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,719,6717,38sigur4,77–10,666,99–12,3511,76–23,01mai sigur3,94–11,496,25–13,0910,19–24,57
Șuturi blocate
22%
13%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,744,226,95sigur0,85–4,622,56–5,873,42–10,49mai sigur0,31–5,162,07–6,362,38–11,52
Cornere
29%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,035,239,25sigur1,81–6,243,23–7,235,04–13,47mai sigur1,24–6,812,69–7,763,93–14,57
Posesie %
17%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,6757,71sigur35,88–49,4650,93–64,50mai sigur34,21–51,1349,25–66,17
Pase
16%
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție362482844sigur295–430415–548710–978mai sigur277–448398–566674–1013
Precizie pase %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție78,6783,62sigur74,64–82,7079,30–87,94mai sigur73,35–83,9977,99–89,25
Faulturi
52%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3812,6826,06sigur10,54–16,219,73–15,6220,27–31,84mai sigur9,78–16,978,99–16,3718,77–33,34
Ofsaiduri
54%
21%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,041,313,35sigur0,88–3,200,21–2,401,09–5,60mai sigur0,58–3,500,00–2,690,50–6,19
Cartonașe galbene
35%
20%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,912,144,05sigur0,86–2,961,01–3,271,87–6,23mai sigur0,59–3,230,72–3,561,31–6,79
Cartonașe roșii
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,140,140,28sigur0,00–0,300,00–0,330,00–0,63mai sigur0,00–0,450,00–0,460,00–0,91
Parade portar
55%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,562,726,28sigur2,12–4,991,17–4,283,29–9,27mai sigur1,73–5,380,74–4,702,48–10,09
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,15 0,18–2,12 0,00–2,37 | 1,82 0,97–2,68 0,74–2,90 | 2,97 1,15–4,80 0,67–5,27 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,88 2,02–5,74 1,53–6,23 | 5,54 3,80–7,28 3,33–7,75 | 9,42 5,82–13,03 4,86–13,98 | 24% 65% |
| Total șuturi | 11,74 7,81–15,66 6,72–16,75 | 14,92 11,36–18,48 10,40–19,44 | 26,66 19,17–34,14 17,12–36,20 | 24% 70% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,71 4,77–10,66 3,94–11,49 | 9,67 6,99–12,35 6,25–13,09 | 17,38 11,76–23,01 10,19–24,57 | 28% 64% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,74 0,85–4,62 0,31–5,16 | 4,22 2,56–5,87 2,07–6,36 | 6,95 3,42–10,49 2,38–11,52 | 22% 13% 64% |
| Cornere | 4,03 1,81–6,24 1,24–6,81 | 5,23 3,23–7,23 2,69–7,76 | 9,25 5,04–13,47 3,93–14,57 | 29% 59% |
| Posesie % | 42,67 35,88–49,46 34,21–51,13 | 57,71 50,93–64,50 49,25–66,17 | — | 17% 80% |
| Pase | 362 295–430 277–448 | 482 415–548 398–566 | 844 710–978 674–1013 | 16% 84% |
| Precizie pase % | 78,67 74,64–82,70 73,35–83,99 | 83,62 79,30–87,94 77,99–89,25 | — | 24% 72% |
| Faulturi | 13,38 10,54–16,21 9,78–16,97 | 12,68 9,73–15,62 8,99–16,37 | 26,06 20,27–31,84 18,77–33,34 | 52% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,04 0,88–3,20 0,58–3,50 | 1,31 0,21–2,40 0,00–2,69 | 3,35 1,09–5,60 0,50–6,19 | 54% 21% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,91 0,86–2,96 0,59–3,23 | 2,14 1,01–3,27 0,72–3,56 | 4,05 1,87–6,23 1,31–6,79 | 35% 20% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,14 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,45 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,28 0,00–0,63 0,00–0,91 | 77% |
| Parade portar | 3,56 2,12–4,99 1,73–5,38 | 2,72 1,17–4,28 0,74–4,70 | 6,28 3,29–9,27 2,48–10,09 | 55% 15% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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