Super League 1·Etapa 8·
Super League 1·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
69%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,100,732,83sigur1,14–3,070,00–1,581,01–4,66mai sigur0,88–3,320,00–1,810,53–5,13
Șuturi pe poartă
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,592,388,97sigur4,73–8,450,64–4,125,36–12,57mai sigur4,24–8,940,17–4,594,41–13,53
Total șuturi
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,467,1726,63sigur15,54–23,393,61–10,7319,14–34,12mai sigur14,45–24,482,65–11,6917,09–36,17
Șuturi din careu
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,124,5816,71sigur9,18–15,071,90–7,2711,09–22,33mai sigur8,35–15,901,17–8,009,52–23,90
Șuturi blocate
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,171,736,91sigur3,29–7,060,08–3,393,37–10,44mai sigur2,75–7,600,00–3,882,34–11,48
Cornere
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,442,7110,15sigur5,23–9,650,71–4,715,93–14,36mai sigur4,65–10,230,18–5,244,83–15,47
Posesie %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,3835,01sigur58,59–72,1728,23–41,80mai sigur56,92–73,8426,56–43,47
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție549274823sigur482–617207–340689–957mai sigur464–635190–358654–992
Precizie pase %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,5963,25sigur72,56–80,6258,93–67,57mai sigur71,27–81,9157,62–68,88
Faulturi
60%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5712,6927,26sigur11,73–17,419,75–15,6421,48–33,04mai sigur10,98–18,169,00–16,3819,97–34,55
Ofsaiduri
23%
19%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,542,453,99sigur0,38–2,701,36–3,551,74–6,25mai sigur0,08–3,001,07–3,841,15–6,83
Cartonașe galbene
25%
18%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,782,644,42sigur0,73–2,831,51–3,772,25–6,60mai sigur0,46–3,101,22–4,061,69–7,16
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,130,22sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,320,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,450,00–0,85
Parade portar
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,844,466,29sigur0,40–3,272,90–6,013,30–9,28mai sigur0,01–3,662,47–6,442,49–10,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,10 1,14–3,07 0,88–3,32 | 0,73 0,00–1,58 0,00–1,81 | 2,83 1,01–4,66 0,53–5,13 | 69% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,59 4,73–8,45 4,24–8,94 | 2,38 0,64–4,12 0,17–4,59 | 8,97 5,36–12,57 4,41–13,53 | 90% |
| Total șuturi | 19,46 15,54–23,39 14,45–24,48 | 7,17 3,61–10,73 2,65–11,69 | 26,63 19,14–34,12 17,09–36,17 | 99% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,12 9,18–15,07 8,35–15,90 | 4,58 1,90–7,27 1,17–8,00 | 16,71 11,09–22,33 9,52–23,90 | 96% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,17 3,29–7,06 2,75–7,60 | 1,73 0,08–3,39 0,00–3,88 | 6,91 3,37–10,44 2,34–11,48 | 87% |
| Cornere | 7,44 5,23–9,65 4,65–10,23 | 2,71 0,71–4,71 0,18–5,24 | 10,15 5,93–14,36 4,83–15,47 | 91% |
| Posesie % | 65,38 58,59–72,17 56,92–73,84 | 35,01 28,23–41,80 26,56–43,47 | — | 96% |
| Pase | 549 482–617 464–635 | 274 207–340 190–358 | 823 689–957 654–992 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,59 72,56–80,62 71,27–81,91 | 63,25 58,93–67,57 57,62–68,88 | — | 95% |
| Faulturi | 14,57 11,73–17,41 10,98–18,16 | 12,69 9,75–15,64 9,00–16,38 | 27,26 21,48–33,04 19,97–34,55 | 60% 32% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,08–3,00 | 2,45 1,36–3,55 1,07–3,84 | 3,99 1,74–6,25 1,15–6,83 | 23% 19% 58% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,78 0,73–2,83 0,46–3,10 | 2,64 1,51–3,77 1,22–4,06 | 4,42 2,25–6,60 1,69–7,16 | 25% 18% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 1,84 0,40–3,27 0,01–3,66 | 4,46 2,90–6,01 2,47–6,44 | 6,29 3,30–9,28 2,49–10,10 | 80% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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