Super League 1·Etapa 24·
Super League 1·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
27%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,251,222,47sigur0,28–2,220,37–2,080,65–4,29mai sigur0,03–2,470,14–2,310,17–4,77
Șuturi pe poartă
44%
14%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,104,008,09sigur2,23–5,962,25–5,744,49–11,70mai sigur1,74–6,451,79–6,203,53–12,65
Total șuturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8711,6524,52sigur8,94–16,798,09–15,2117,03–32,01mai sigur7,85–17,897,13–16,1714,98–34,06
Șuturi din careu
49%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,897,5215,41sigur4,95–10,834,84–10,209,78–21,03mai sigur4,12–11,664,10–10,948,22–22,60
Șuturi blocate
53%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,702,976,66sigur1,81–5,581,31–4,623,13–10,20mai sigur1,27–6,120,82–5,112,09–11,24
Cornere
48%
13%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,914,569,47sigur2,70–7,132,56–6,565,26–13,69mai sigur2,13–7,702,03–7,094,15–14,79
Posesie %
58%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,8748,31sigur46,08–59,6641,52–55,09mai sigur44,41–61,3339,85–56,76
Pase
64%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție425382807sigur358–492315–448673–940mai sigur340–510298–466637–976
Precizie pase %
34%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,2770,04sigur63,24–71,3065,72–74,37mai sigur61,95–72,5964,41–75,68
Faulturi
41%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,8116,6532,46sigur12,97–18,6413,71–19,5926,67–38,24mai sigur12,21–19,4012,96–20,3425,17–39,74
Ofsaiduri
42%
23%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,791,633,42sigur0,63–2,950,53–2,721,16–5,67mai sigur0,33–3,250,24–3,010,57–6,26
Cartonașe galbene
38%
18%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,392,544,92sigur1,34–3,441,41–3,672,75–7,10mai sigur1,07–3,701,12–3,962,19–7,66
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,130,23sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,320,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,450,00–0,86
Parade portar
39%
17%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,662,815,47sigur1,22–4,101,25–4,362,47–8,46mai sigur0,84–4,480,83–4,791,66–9,27
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,25 0,28–2,22 0,03–2,47 | 1,22 0,37–2,08 0,14–2,31 | 2,47 0,65–4,29 0,17–4,77 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,10 2,23–5,96 1,74–6,45 | 4,00 2,25–5,74 1,79–6,20 | 8,09 4,49–11,70 3,53–12,65 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 12,87 8,94–16,79 7,85–17,89 | 11,65 8,09–15,21 7,13–16,17 | 24,52 17,03–32,01 14,98–34,06 | 56% 36% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,89 4,95–10,83 4,12–11,66 | 7,52 4,84–10,20 4,10–10,94 | 15,41 9,78–21,03 8,22–22,60 | 49% 41% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,70 1,81–5,58 1,27–6,12 | 2,97 1,31–4,62 0,82–5,11 | 6,66 3,13–10,20 2,09–11,24 | 53% 15% 31% |
| Cornere | 4,91 2,70–7,13 2,13–7,70 | 4,56 2,56–6,56 2,03–7,09 | 9,47 5,26–13,69 4,15–14,79 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Posesie % | 52,87 46,08–59,66 44,41–61,33 | 48,31 41,52–55,09 39,85–56,76 | — | 58% 37% |
| Pase | 425 358–492 340–510 | 382 315–448 298–466 | 807 673–940 637–976 | 64% 36% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,27 63,24–71,30 61,95–72,59 | 70,04 65,72–74,37 64,41–75,68 | — | 34% 62% |
| Faulturi | 15,81 12,97–18,64 12,21–19,40 | 16,65 13,71–19,59 12,96–20,34 | 32,46 26,67–38,24 25,17–39,74 | 41% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,79 0,63–2,95 0,33–3,25 | 1,63 0,53–2,72 0,24–3,01 | 3,42 1,16–5,67 0,57–6,26 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,39 1,34–3,44 1,07–3,70 | 2,54 1,41–3,67 1,12–3,96 | 4,92 2,75–7,10 2,19–7,66 | 38% 18% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,66 1,22–4,10 0,84–4,48 | 2,81 1,25–4,36 0,83–4,79 | 5,47 2,47–8,46 1,66–9,27 | 39% 17% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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