Conference League·Faza ligii - etapa 5·
Conference League·Faza ligii - etapa 5·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
22%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,231,903,12sigur0,26–2,191,04–2,751,30–4,95mai sigur0,01–2,450,82–2,980,82–5,43
Șuturi pe poartă
36%
13%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,184,798,97sigur2,32–6,053,04–6,535,36–12,57mai sigur1,83–6,532,58–6,994,41–13,53
Total șuturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3713,0425,40sigur8,44–16,299,47–16,6017,91–32,89mai sigur7,35–17,388,51–17,5615,86–34,94
Șuturi din careu
41%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,478,8617,33sigur5,52–11,416,18–11,5411,70–22,95mai sigur4,70–12,245,44–12,2810,14–24,52
Șuturi blocate
42%
15%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,503,507,01sigur1,62–5,391,85–5,163,47–10,54mai sigur1,08–5,931,36–5,652,44–11,58
Cornere
45%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,864,739,59sigur2,65–7,072,73–6,735,37–13,80mai sigur2,07–7,652,19–7,264,27–14,91
Posesie %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,8856,74sigur36,09–49,6749,95–63,52mai sigur34,42–51,3448,28–65,19
Pase
15%
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție400524923sigur333–467457–590790–1057mai sigur315–485440–608754–1093
Precizie pase %
25%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,1676,79sigur68,13–76,1972,47–81,11mai sigur66,84–77,4871,16–82,42
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6611,4023,05sigur8,82–14,498,45–14,3417,27–28,84mai sigur8,06–15,257,70–15,0915,77–30,34
Ofsaiduri
37%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,683,30sigur0,46–2,780,59–2,781,05–5,56mai sigur0,16–3,080,30–3,060,46–6,15
Cartonașe galbene
30%
22%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,973,52sigur0,49–2,590,84–3,101,34–5,69mai sigur0,23–2,860,55–3,390,78–6,25
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
44%
17%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,872,745,62sigur1,44–4,311,19–4,302,63–8,61mai sigur1,05–4,700,76–4,731,81–9,42
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,23 0,26–2,19 0,01–2,45 | 1,90 1,04–2,75 0,82–2,98 | 3,12 1,30–4,95 0,82–5,43 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,18 2,32–6,05 1,83–6,53 | 4,79 3,04–6,53 2,58–6,99 | 8,97 5,36–12,57 4,41–13,53 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Total șuturi | 12,37 8,44–16,29 7,35–17,38 | 13,04 9,47–16,60 8,51–17,56 | 25,40 17,91–32,89 15,86–34,94 | 41% 51% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,47 5,52–11,41 4,70–12,24 | 8,86 6,18–11,54 5,44–12,28 | 17,33 11,70–22,95 10,14–24,52 | 41% 49% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,50 1,62–5,39 1,08–5,93 | 3,50 1,85–5,16 1,36–5,65 | 7,01 3,47–10,54 2,44–11,58 | 42% 15% 42% |
| Cornere | 4,86 2,65–7,07 2,07–7,65 | 4,73 2,73–6,73 2,19–7,26 | 9,59 5,37–13,80 4,27–14,91 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Posesie % | 42,88 36,09–49,67 34,42–51,34 | 56,74 49,95–63,52 48,28–65,19 | — | 19% 78% |
| Pase | 400 333–467 315–485 | 524 457–590 440–608 | 923 790–1057 754–1093 | 15% 85% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,16 68,13–76,19 66,84–77,48 | 76,79 72,47–81,11 71,16–82,42 | — | 25% 70% |
| Faulturi | 11,66 8,82–14,49 8,06–15,25 | 11,40 8,45–14,34 7,70–15,09 | 23,05 17,27–28,84 15,77–30,34 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,62 0,46–2,78 0,16–3,08 | 1,68 0,59–2,78 0,30–3,06 | 3,30 1,05–5,56 0,46–6,15 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,23–2,86 | 1,97 0,84–3,10 0,55–3,39 | 3,52 1,34–5,69 0,78–6,25 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,87 1,44–4,31 1,05–4,70 | 2,74 1,19–4,30 0,76–4,73 | 5,62 2,63–8,61 1,81–9,42 | 44% 17% 39% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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